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Divorce, Fertility and the Shot Gun Marriage

Alberto F. Alesina
Harvard University - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Paola Giuliano
University of California, Los Angeles - Anderson School of Management; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)


July 2006

NBER Working Paper No. W12375

Abstract:     
Total fertility declined in states that introduced unilateral divorce, which makes dissolution of marriage easier. Also the ratio of out-of-wedlock fertility over total declined. We suggest an explanation (and provide supportive evidence for it) based upon the effect of divorce laws on the probability of entering and exiting marriage. Women planning to have children marry more easily with an easier exit option from marriage. Thus, more children are born in the first years of marriage, while the total marital fertility does not change, probably as a result of an increase in divorces and marital instability.

Working Paper Series

Date posted: July 26, 2006 ; Last revised: September 28, 2006

Suggested Citation

Alesina, Alberto F. and Giuliano, Paola, Divorce, Fertility and the Shot Gun Marriage (July 2006). NBER Working Paper No. W12375. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=918973


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Contact Information

Alberto F. Alesina (Contact Author)
Harvard University - Department of Economics ( email )
Littauer Center
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
617-495-8388 (Phone)
617-495-7730 (Fax)
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
90-98 Goswell Road
London EC1V 7RR United Kingdom
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
Paola Giuliano
University of California, Los Angeles - Anderson School of Management ( email )
110 Westwood Plaza
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481
United States
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
P.O. Box 7240
D-53072 Bonn Germany
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