Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=920180
 
 

References (43)



 
 

Citations (45)



 


 



Democratic Transitions


David Epstein


Columbia University - Department of Political Science

Robert Bates


Harvard University - Department of Government

Jack A. Goldstone


George Mason University - School of Public Policy; RANEPA (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Ida Kristensen


Columbia University

Sharyn O'Halloran


Columbia University - School of International & Public Affairs



Abstract:     
Przeworski, Alvarez, Cheibub, and Limongi (2000) challenge the key hypothesis in modernization theory: political regimes do not transition to democracy as per capita incomes rise, they argue. Rather, democratic transitions occur randomly, but once there, countries with higher levels of GDP per capita remain democratic. We retest the modernization hypothesis using new data, new techniques, and a three-way rather than dichotomous classification of regimes. Contrary to Przeworski et. al. (2000) we find that the modernization hypothesis stands up well. We also find that partial democracies emerge as among the most important and least understood regime types.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 33

Keywords: development, modernization, polical economy

working papers series


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Date posted: July 31, 2006  

Suggested Citation

Epstein, David and Bates, Robert and Goldstone, Jack A. and Kristensen, Ida and O'Halloran, Sharyn, Democratic Transitions. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=920180 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.920180

Contact Information

David Lester Epstein
Columbia University - Department of Political Science ( email )
420 West 118th Street
719 International Affairs Building
New York, NY 10027
United States
(212) 854-7566 (Phone)
(212) 222-0598 (Fax)
Robert Bates (Contact Author)
Harvard University - Department of Government ( email )
1737 Cambridge Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
617-496-0919 (Phone)
617-496-6849 (Fax)
Jack A. Goldstone
George Mason University - School of Public Policy ( email )
3401 Fairfax Drive
Arlington, VA 22201
United States

RANEPA (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration) ( email )
Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia
HOME PAGE: http://ranepa.com
Ida Kristensen
Columbia University ( email )
3022 Broadway
New York, NY 10027
United States
Sharyn O'Halloran
Columbia University - School of International & Public Affairs ( email )
420 West 118th Street
New York, NY 10027
United States
(212) 854-3242 (Phone)
(212) 222-0598 (Fax)
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