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Local Currency Bond Markets


Francis E. Warnock


University of Virginia - Darden Business School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

John D. Burger


Loyola University Maryland

March 2006


Abstract:     
We analyze the development of 49 local bond markets. Our main finding is that policies and laws matter: Countries with stable inflation rates and strong creditor rights have more developed local bond markets and rely less on foreign-currency-denominated bonds. The results suggest that "original sin" is a misnomer. Emerging economies are not inherently dependent upon foreign-currency debt. Rather, by improving policy performance and strengthening institutions they may develop local currency bond markets, reduce their currency mismatch, and lessen the likelihood of future crises.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 21

Keywords: bond market development, emerging market debt, original sin

JEL Classification: F30, G11, G15, O16

working papers series


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Date posted: September 14, 2006  

Suggested Citation

Warnock, Francis E. and Burger, John D., Local Currency Bond Markets (March 2006). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=930072 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.930072

Contact Information

Francis E. Warnock (Contact Author)
University of Virginia - Darden Business School ( email )
P.O. Box 6550
Charlottesville, VA 22906-6550
United States
434-924-6076 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://faculty.darden.virginia.edu/warnockf/index.htm
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138-5398
John D. Burger
Loyola University Maryland ( email )
4501 N. Charles St
Baltimore, MD 21210
United States
410-617-5831 (Phone)
410-617-2118 (Fax)
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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