International Trade and Finance Under the Two Hegemons: Complementaries in the United Kingdom 1870-1913 and the United States 1920-30
Alan M. Taylor
University of California, Davis - Department of Economics; University of Virginia - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
University of California, Davis - Department of Economics
NBER Working Paper No. w12543
Do international trade and finance flow together? In theory, trade and finance can be substitutes or complements, so the matter must be resolved empirically. We study trade and financial flows from the United Kingdom from 1870 to 1913 and the United States in the interwar years. Trade and finance are robustly correlated, even after allowing for simultaneity. Evidence from the British Empire casts doubt on the idea that trade is a punishment device in the event of a default.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 40
Date posted: October 2, 2006
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