Welfare Implications of the Transition to High Household Debt
Jeffrey R. Campbell
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Tel Aviv University - Eitan Berglas School of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. 2006-27
Aggressive deregulation of the mortgage market in the early 1980s triggered innovations that greatly reduced the required home equity of U.S. households. This allowed households to cash-out a large part of accumulated equity, which equaled 71 percent of GDP in 1982. A borrowing surge followed: Household debt increased from 43 to 62 percent of GDP in the 1982-2000 period. What are the welfare implications of such a reform for borrowers and savers? This paper uses a calibrated general equilibrium model of lending from the wealthy to the middle class to evaluate these effects quantitatively.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 40
Keywords: Financial Reform, Mortgage Debt, Interest Rates
JEL Classification: E44, E65
Date posted: December 22, 2006
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