Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=964345
 
 

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How Does Terrorism Risk Vary Across Space and Time? An Analysis Based on the Israeli Experience


Claude Berrebi


RAND Corporation; Hebrew University - The Federmann School of Public Policy and Government; University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics; Princeton University - Department of Economics; RAND Corporation - Labor and Population Studies

Darius Lakdawalla


RAND Corporation; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

June 2006


Abstract:     
We study the spatial and temporal determinants of terrorism risk in Israel, using a geocoded database of Israeli terrorist attacks from 1949 to the present. In selecting targets, terrorists seem to respond rationally to costs and benefits: they are more likely to hit targets more accessible from their own homebases and international borders, closer to symbolic centers of government administration, and in more heavily Jewish areas. We also examine the waiting time between attacks experienced by localities. Long periods without an attack signal lower risk for most localities, but higher risk for important areas like regional or national capitals.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 36

Keywords: Terrorism Risk, spatial, temporal, Israel, Palestinian

JEL Classification: D74, N4

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Date posted: February 21, 2007  

Suggested Citation

Berrebi, Claude and Lakdawalla, Darius, How Does Terrorism Risk Vary Across Space and Time? An Analysis Based on the Israeli Experience (June 2006). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=964345 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.964345

Contact Information

Claude Berrebi (Contact Author)
RAND Corporation ( email )
Santa Monica, CA
310-393-0411 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://www.rand.org/about/people/b/berrebi_claude.html
Hebrew University - The Federmann School of Public Policy and Government
Hebrew University
Mount Scopus
Jerusalem, 91905
Israel
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics ( email )
Box 951477
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1477
United States
HOME PAGE: http://www.econ.ucla.edu/people/Faculty/Berrebi.html
Princeton University - Department of Economics ( email )
Industrial Relations Section
Princeton, NJ 08544
United States
609-258-4777 (Phone)
609-258-2907 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.princeton.edu/~cberrebi
RAND Corporation - Labor and Population Studies ( email )
1776 Main Street
Santa Monica, CA
United States
310-393-0411 (Phone)
Darius Lakdawalla
RAND Corporation ( email )
P.O. Box 2138
1700 Main Street
Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138
United States
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
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