Projections of Chinese Energy Demands in 2020
F. Gerard Adams
Northeastern University - D’Amore-McKim School of Business
The City College of The City University of New York - Department of Economics; The University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
PIER Working Paper No. 07-012
As current trends of Chinese economic growth and motorization continue, its demand for higher efficiency fuels (oil, gas, and electric power) will increase. This, coupled with China's limited domestic production, can translate into a massive demand for energy imports. To predict China's energy demand into 2020, an econometric model of the Chinese energy economy is constructed based on its energy balance. This paper suggests that China's increase demand for energy imports will be most sensitive to increases in motorization rather than economic growth. It can be partially offset by increasing domestic energy production or energy efficiency.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 30
Keywords: China; Energy; Energy Demand; Petroleum and Coal; World Energy Markets; Motorization; Energy Efficiency
JEL Classification: Q3, Q4, F1, F2, F4, L9, N7, O53, P28working papers series
Date posted: February 26, 2007
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