Moving Median With Trend and Seasonality

Abstract:     
In this paper is examined and presented an alternative method in time-series analysis and forecasting. In the specific project is being a concentration of certain ideas that I had as a student in the third and fourth year of my undergraduate studies in the Economic Science, as I had the unique experience of learning the basic econometrics and the time-series analysis and forecasting. Consequently in this work I am trying to attribute with the simplest presentation and easiest way, the methodology of moving median method, as it can be proved very easy comprehensible to everyone, because mathematics that are been used can be easy understood. It can be useful to financial analysts and can be applied in microeconomics and macroeconomics.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 19

Keywords: basic econometrics, moving median, forecasting, trend, seasonality

JEL Classification: C40

working papers series