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Market Timing with Candlestick Technical Analysis

Ben R. Marshall
Massey University - Department of Economics and Finance

Lawrence C. Rose
Massey University - Department of Commerce

Martin R. Young
Massey University - Economics and Finance


April 16, 2007


Abstract:     
We investigate the profitability of the quantitative market timing technique of candlestick technical analysis in the U.S. equity market. Despite being used for centuries in Japan and now having a wide following amongst market practitioners globally, there is little research documenting its profitability or otherwise. We find that these strategies are not generally profitable when applied to large U.S. stocks. Basing trading decisions solely on these techniques does not seem sensible but we cannot rule out the possibility that they compliment some other market timing techniques.

Keywords: Market Timing, Candlesticks, Technical Analysis, Quantitative Investment

JEL Classifications: G12, G14

Working Paper Series

Date posted: April 16, 2007 ; Last revised: September 14, 2009

Suggested Citation

Marshall, Ben R., Young, Martin R. and Rose, Lawrence C., Market Timing with Candlestick Technical Analysis (April 16, 2007). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=980583


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Contact Information

Ben R. Marshall (Contact Author)
Massey University - Department of Economics and Finance ( email )
Private Bag 11-222
Palmerston North 30974
New Zealand
64 6 350 5799 (Phone)
64 6 350 5651 (Fax)
Lawrence (Larry) Craig Rose
Massey University - Department of Commerce ( email )
Private Bag 102-904
North Shore Mail Centre
Auckland New Zealand
+64 9 443 9799, ext. 9465 (Phone)
+64 9 441 8177 (Fax)
Martin R. Young
Massey University - Economics and Finance ( email )
Private Bag 11-222
Palmerston North 30974
New Zealand
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