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Option Volume and Stock Prices: Evidence on Where Informed Traders TradeDavid EasleyCornell University - Department of Economics Maureen O'HaraCornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management P. S. SrinivasWorld Bank Journal of Finance, Vol. 53, No. 2, April 1998 Abstract: This paper investigates the informational role of transactions volume in options markets. We develop an asymmetric information model in which informed traders may trade in option or equity markets. We show conditions under which informed traders trade options, and we investigate the implications of this for the linkage between markets. Our model predicts an important informational role for the volume of particular types of option trades. We empirically test our model's hypotheses with intra-day option data. Our main empirical result is that negative and positive option volumes contain information about future stock prices.
JEL Classification: G13, G14 Accepted Paper SeriesDate posted: July 2, 1998Suggested CitationContact Information
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