Optimal Modelling Frequency for Foreign Exchange Volatility Forecasting

Posted: 25 Aug 2010

See all articles by Jonathan J. Reeves

Jonathan J. Reeves

UNSW Business School, University of New South Wales; Financial Research Network (FIRN)

Vincent J. Hooper

SP Jain School of Global Management

Xuan Xie

Commonwealth Bank of Australia

Date Written: 2009

Abstract

For the major foreign exchange rates, it is found that the optimal modelling frequency of volatility is weekly for forecast horizons ranging from 1 week up to 1 month. Autoregressive modelling is based on realized volatility measures computed from 30 min returns.

Keywords: High-frequency data, Realized volatility

JEL Classification: G15

Suggested Citation

Reeves, Jonathan J. and Hooper, Vincent James and Xie, Xuan, Optimal Modelling Frequency for Foreign Exchange Volatility Forecasting (2009). Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 19, No. 14, 2009, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1663666

Jonathan J. Reeves (Contact Author)

UNSW Business School, University of New South Wales ( email )

Sydney, NSW 2052
Australia

Financial Research Network (FIRN) ( email )

C/- University of Queensland Business School
St Lucia, 4071 Brisbane
Queensland
Australia

Vincent James Hooper

SP Jain School of Global Management ( email )

Xuan Xie

Commonwealth Bank of Australia ( email )

Sydney, NSW 2052
Australia

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