Interest Rate Pass-Through and Monetary Policy Asymmetry: A Journey into the Caucasian Black Box

23 Pages Posted: 30 Jul 2013 Last revised: 21 Oct 2020

See all articles by Rustam Jamilov

Rustam Jamilov

All Souls College

Balázs Égert

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD); CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute); Université Paris X Nanterre - Department of Economics; William Davidson Institute

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Date Written: February 1, 2013

Abstract

This paper analyses the interest rate pass-through for five economies of the Caucasus – Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Russia. Employing an auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) specification to monthly data, we find that the interest rate pass-through is systematically incomplete and sluggish, probably due to macroeconomic instability and low banking sector competition. It is not clear whether pass-through has improved over time and asymmetric adjustment is found to characterize the pass-through only occasionally. Overall, our results show a considerable degree of cross-country heterogeneity in the size and speed of the pass-through.

Keywords: interest rate pass-through, asymmetric adjustment, Caucasus

JEL Classification: E43, E52, N25

Suggested Citation

Jamilov, Rustam and Egert, Balazs, Interest Rate Pass-Through and Monetary Policy Asymmetry: A Journey into the Caucasian Black Box (February 1, 2013). Journal of Asian Economics, Vol. 31-32, 2014, William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 1041, CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4131, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2302836 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2302836

Rustam Jamilov (Contact Author)

All Souls College ( email )

Oxford
Oxford
Oxford, OX1 4AL
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://rustamjamilov.com

Balazs Egert

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) ( email )

2 rue Andre Pascal
Paris Cedex 16, 75775
France

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

Université Paris X Nanterre - Department of Economics

Nanterre Cedex, 92001
France

William Davidson Institute

724 E. University Ave.
Wyly Hall
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1234
United States

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