Exchange Rate Pass-Through: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?

We study how exchange rate pass-through to CPI inflation has changed since the global financial crisis. We have three main findings. First, exchange rate pass-through in emerging economies decreased after the financial crisis, while exchange rate pass-through in advanced economies has remained relatively low and stable over time. Second, we show that the declining pass-through in emerging markets is related to declining inflation. Third, we show that it is important to control for non-linearities when estimating exchange rate pass-through. These results hold for both short-run and long-run pass-through and remain robust to extensive changes in the specifications.

Keywords: Exchange rate pass-through, inflation

JEL Classification: E31, E58, F31

Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation

Jasova, Martina and Moessner, Richhild and Takáts, Előd, Exchange Rate Pass-Through: What Has Changed Since the Crisis? (September 2016). BIS Working Paper No. 583, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2841398