A Rational Inattention Unemployment Trap

49 Pages Posted: 11 Jun 2019

See all articles by Martin Ellison

Martin Ellison

University of Oxford

Alistair Macaulay

University of Oxford - Nuffield College

Date Written: May 2019

Abstract

We show that introducing rational inattention into a model with uninsurable unemployment risk can generate multiple steady states, when the same model with full information has a unique steady state. The model features heterogeneity and persistence in household labour market expectations, consistent with survey evidence. In a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian model, we find that rational inattention to the future hiring rate generates a high employment steady state with moderate inflation, and an unemployment trap with very low (but positive) inflation and a low job hiring rate.

Keywords: multiple equilibria, rational inattention, unemployment

JEL Classification: D83, E10, E24

Suggested Citation

Ellison, Martin and Macaulay, Alistair, A Rational Inattention Unemployment Trap (May 2019). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13761, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3401848

Martin Ellison (Contact Author)

University of Oxford ( email )

Mansfield Road
Oxford, OX1 4AU
United Kingdom

Alistair Macaulay

University of Oxford - Nuffield College ( email )

Oxford
United Kingdom

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