The Economic Impacts and the Regulation of AI: A Review of the Academic Literature and Policy Actions

69 Pages Posted: 27 Mar 2024

See all articles by Mariarosaria Comunale

Mariarosaria Comunale

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Andrea Manera

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract

We review the literature on the effects of Artificial Intelligence (AI) adoption and the ongoing regulatory efforts concerning this technology. Economic research encompasses growth, employment, productivity, and income inequality effects, while regulation covers market competition, data privacy, copyright, national security, ethics concerns, and financial stability. We find that: (i) theoretical research agrees that AI will affect most occupations and transform growth, but empirical findings are inconclusive on employment and productivity effects; (ii) regulation has focused primarily on topics not explored by the academic literature; (iii) across countries, regulations differ widely in scope and approaches and face difficult trade-offs.

Keywords: Artificial Intelligence (AI), labor market, task exposure, productivity, regulation, governance.

JEL Classification: J23, K23, L50, O33

Suggested Citation

Comunale, Mariarosaria and Manera, Andrea, The Economic Impacts and the Regulation of AI: A Review of the Academic Literature and Policy Actions. IMF Working Paper No. 2024/065, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4774326 or http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9798400271663.001

Mariarosaria Comunale (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

Andrea Manera

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ( email )

77 Massachusetts Avenue
50 Memorial Drive
Cambridge, MA 02139-4307
United States

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

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