Cross-State Job Stealing

42 Pages Posted: 15 Nov 2025

See all articles by Po-Hsuan Hsu

Po-Hsuan Hsu

National Tsing Hua University - Department of Quantitative Finance

Qin Li

Hong Kong Polytechnic University

Hong Wu

City University of Hong Kong

Date Written: October 24, 2025

Abstract

Using a comprehensive dataset of U.S. job postings, we study how state R&D tax credits influence firms' geographic allocation of talent recruitment. We find that a firm's local demand for R&D labor significantly decreases with R&D tax credits offered by other states in which the firm currently operates. This relation has a causal interpretation because (i) we control for the fixed effects of other states; (ii) the reduced local recruitment occurs after sharp increases in out-of-state R&D tax credits but not before; and (iii) we find no corresponding decrease in non-R&D recruitment. This negative spillover reflects a form of "job stealing" in which tax incentives in one state draw skilled labor demand away from others. The substitution effect is more pronounced for R&D-intensive firms and financially constrained firms, as well as for situations in which other states offer abundant talent supply, thus making it easier to meet increased labor demand there. We also observe a similar spillover effect on inventor counts and patenting activity, both of which decline with out-of-state R&D tax credits. Overall, our findings highlight the redistributive impact of R&D tax credits on the geography of firms' demand for innovation labor.

Keywords: R&D, Tax Credits, Job Postings, Labor Demand, Inventors

Suggested Citation

Hsu, Po-Hsuan and Li, Qin and Wu, Hong, Cross-State Job Stealing (October 24, 2025). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5728662 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5728662

Po-Hsuan Hsu (Contact Author)

National Tsing Hua University - Department of Quantitative Finance ( email )

101, Section 2, Kuang-Fu Road
Hsinchu, Taiwan 300
China

Qin Li

Hong Kong Polytechnic University ( email )

Hong Wu

City University of Hong Kong ( email )

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