Taxing the Rich to Finance Redistribution – Evidence from a Permanent Tax Increase in Singapore

Forthcoming in Management Science

67 Pages Posted: 24 Apr 2020 Last revised: 24 Feb 2023

See all articles by Sumit Agarwal

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore

Wenlan Qian

National University of Singapore - NUS Business School

Bernard Yin Yeung

National University of Singapore (NUS) - NUS Business School; SUSTECH Business School; ABFER; European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

Huanhuan Zheng

National University of Singapore

Date Written: March 31, 2020

Abstract

Based on a representative sample of consumer financial transaction data, this paper studies the consumption and savings response to a 2015 permanent increase in the marginal income tax of the high-income taxpayers. Using difference-in-differences regressions, controlling for individual and time fixed effects, we show robust results that the affected consumers experienced little change in their spending. The pattern is prevalent across consumer demographics and is found even among consumers who are sophisticated, have high levels of debt, or register little income changes. Furthermore, the tax increase financed fiscal redistribution leads to a long-lasting increase in the consumption of the lower-income population.

Keywords: income tax; consumption; savings; redistributive policy; fiscal policy

JEL Classification: H24, E21, H31, H53, H61, H62, H63

Suggested Citation

Agarwal, Sumit and Qian, Wenlan and Yeung, Bernard Yin and Zheng, Huanhuan, Taxing the Rich to Finance Redistribution – Evidence from a Permanent Tax Increase in Singapore (March 31, 2020). Forthcoming in Management Science, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3564834 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3564834

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
Singapore, 117592
Singapore
8118 9025 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.ushakrisna.com

Wenlan Qian (Contact Author)

National University of Singapore - NUS Business School ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
Singapore 117592, 119245
Singapore
(65) 65163015 (Phone)

Bernard Yin Yeung

National University of Singapore (NUS) - NUS Business School ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
BIZ 1 Level 6
Singapore, 119245
Singapore
65 6516 3075 (Phone)
65 6779 1365 (Fax)

SUSTECH Business School ( email )

1088 Xueyuan Blvd
Nanshan
shenzhen, Guangdong 518055
China

ABFER ( email )

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

c/o the Royal Academies of Belgium
Rue Ducale 1 Hertogsstraat
1000 Brussels
Belgium

Huanhuan Zheng

National University of Singapore ( email )

469C Bukit Timah Rd
NUHS Tower Block Level 7
Singapore, 259772
Singapore

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