Diff-in-Diff in Death: Estimating and Explaining Artist-Specific Death Effects

32 Pages Posted: 31 Mar 2020

See all articles by Heinrich W. Ursprung

Heinrich W. Ursprung

University of Konstanz; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Katarina Zigova

University of Konstanz

Date Written: 2020

Abstract

We investigate how an artist's death impacts on the price of her artwork by estimating individual death effects of a sample of famous visual artists who died between 1985 and 2010. Using data from art auctions that took place in a narrow window around the artists' death, we apply various econometric methods, including regression discontinuity and differences-in-differences strategies. The heterogeneity in death effects across artists turns out to be substantial and can, in large part, be explained by age and reputation at death. This result is robust to various specifications and measures of reputation. We present as an exacting test the case of Keith Haring, whose terminal illness was communicated by him well in advance.

Keywords: art auction prices, death effect, reputation, differences in differences, regression discontinuity

JEL Classification: I200, J240, J310

Suggested Citation

Ursprung, Heinrich and Zigova, Katarina, Diff-in-Diff in Death: Estimating and Explaining Artist-Specific Death Effects (2020). CESifo Working Paper No. 8181, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3564862 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3564862

Heinrich Ursprung (Contact Author)

University of Konstanz ( email )

Konstanz, D-78457
Germany
+49 7531 88 3713 (Phone)

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) ( email )

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

Katarina Zigova

University of Konstanz ( email )

Fach D-144
Universitätsstraße 10
Konstanz, D-78457
Germany

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