Treatment Effect Models with Strategic Interaction in Treatment Decisions

67 Pages Posted: 12 Nov 2018 Last revised: 22 Feb 2023

See all articles by Tadao Hoshino

Tadao Hoshino

Waseda University

Takahide Yanagi

Kyoto University - Graduate School of Economics

Date Written: February 2023

Abstract

This study considers treatment effect models in which others' treatment decisions can affect both one's own treatment and outcome. Focusing on the case of two-player interactions, we formulate treatment decision behavior as a complete information game with multiple equilibria. Using a latent index framework and assuming a stochastic equilibrium selection, we prove that the marginal treatment effect from one's own treatment and that from the partner are identifiable on the conditional supports of certain threshold variables determined through the game model. Based on our constructive identification results, we propose a two-step semiparametric procedure for estimating the marginal treatment effects using series approximation. We show that the proposed estimator is uniformly consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. As an empirical illustration, we investigate the impacts of risky behaviors on adolescents' academic performance.

Keywords: binary games, latent index models, marginal treatment effects, series estimation, strategic interaction

JEL Classification: C14, C31, C57

Suggested Citation

Hoshino, Tadao and Yanagi, Takahide, Treatment Effect Models with Strategic Interaction in Treatment Decisions (February 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3270447 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3270447

Tadao Hoshino (Contact Author)

Waseda University ( email )

1-104 Totsuka
Shinjuku, Tokyo 169-8050
Japan

Takahide Yanagi

Kyoto University - Graduate School of Economics ( email )

Yoshida Honmachi
Sakyo
Kyoto, Kyoto 6068501
Japan

HOME PAGE: http://https://sites.google.com/view/takahide-yanagi/

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