Mimicking a Buffer Fund for the Eurozone

34 Pages Posted: 6 Apr 2020

See all articles by Paul van den Noord

Paul van den Noord

University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam School of Economics (ASE); ACES

Date Written: March 9, 2020

Abstract

In this paper I examine how a Eurozone buffer fund could help bolster the stability of the Eurozone economy by mitigating the procyclicality of fiscal policies. Receipts from the buffer fund are assumed to be triggered by the cyclical movements in unemployment in each country. The receipts, in turn, are expected to mitigate the fiscal contractions during downturns. To quantify the extent of macroeconomic stabilisation thus achieved, the paper superimposes estimates for ‘fiscal multipliers’ on the assumed change in fiscal policies. The computations are carried out using two databases – the European Commission's AMECO database and the OECD Economic Outlook database – and suggest that a Eurozone buffer fund would have significant stabilisation properties.

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Business fluctuations, European Buffer Fund

JEL Classification: E32, E63, F33

Suggested Citation

van den Noord, Paul, Mimicking a Buffer Fund for the Eurozone (March 9, 2020). Amsterdam Centre for European Studies Research Paper No. 2020/04, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3569576 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3569576

Paul Van Den Noord (Contact Author)

University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam School of Economics (ASE) ( email )

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