CEO Overconfidence and the Choice of Debt Issuance

69 Pages Posted: 28 May 2020 Last revised: 26 Feb 2024

See all articles by Li Ge

Li Ge

Monash Business School

Taher Jamil

Monash University - Monash Business School

Jin Yu

Monash University - Department of Banking and Finance

Date Written: February 2, 2024

Abstract

This paper examines how chief executive officer (CEO) overconfidence affects firms’ choice of corporate debt issuance. We find that firms with overconfident CEOs tend to issue more private debt, especially bank loans, than public bonds compared with firms with nonoverconfident CEOs. The effect of CEO overconfidence is more pronounced when default spreads are wide, when gross domestic product growth is slow, during recessions, and among firms that face high distress and cash flow risk. Furthermore, the relationship between CEO overconfidence and bank loan issuance depends on collateralization; however, our main finding is not driven by debt maturity. To alleviate endogeneity concerns, we investigate matched samples and a subsample with exogenous CEO turnover events and find supportive and statistically stronger results.

Keywords: Debt issuance, Debt structure, Private debt, Bank loans, Bonds, CEO overconfidence

JEL Classification: G32, G41

Suggested Citation

Ge, Li and Jamil, Taher and Yu, Jin, CEO Overconfidence and the Choice of Debt Issuance (February 2, 2024). Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 161, No. 107099, 2024, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3570193 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3570193

Li Ge

Monash Business School ( email )

Menzies Building, 21 Chancellors Walk
Clayton, Victoria 3168
Australia
+61 399032123 (Phone)

Taher Jamil (Contact Author)

Monash University - Monash Business School ( email )

900 Dandenong Road
Caulfield East
Melbourne, Victoria 3145
Australia

Jin Yu

Monash University - Department of Banking and Finance ( email )

Melbourne
Australia
+61 3 99034590 (Phone)

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