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Trends and Determinants of Newborn Mortality in the Kyrgyz Republic: A Countdown Country Case Study

30 Pages Posted: 29 Jun 2020

See all articles by Mahdis Kamali

Mahdis Kamali

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health

James E Wright

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health

Nadia Akseer

Johns Hopkins University - Bloomberg School of Public Health; Modern Scientist Global

Hana Tasic

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health

Kaitlin Conway

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health

Saman Brar

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health

Cholpon Imanaliev

United Nations - Kyrgyzstan Office

Gerrit Maritz

United Nations - Kyrgyzstan Office

Arjumand Rizvi

Aga Khan University - Centre of Excellence in Women and Child Health

Baktyiar Stanbekov

Ministry of Health, Kyrgyzstan - Electronic Health Center

Sagynbu Abduvalieva

Ministry of Health, Kyrgyzstan - National Center of Mother and Child Health

Elvira Toialieva

Independent

Zulfiqar A Bhutta

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health

More...

Abstract

Background: The Kyrgyz Republic has made great progress in reducing neonatal mortality rate (NMR), compared to the region, despite its regional comparatively low GDP per capita. Given the availability of an established civil registration and vital statistics system, the country is uniquely positioned to undertake a comprehensive assessment of trends and determinants of newborn mortality.

Methods: We used publicly available data repositories and the national birth registry data to examine trends and inequalities of reproductive, maternal and newborn health and mortality between 1990 and 2018 at a national and subnational level. Coverage of newborn and maternal health interventions were assessed and disaggregating by equity dimensions. Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition was done to determine the contextual factors associated with the observed decline in NMR. We undertook a comprehensive review of national policies and programs, as well as a prospective Lives Saved Tool (LiST) analysis to highlight interventions that will save the most lives.

Findings: In the past two decades, with the help of investments and appropriate policies, the Kyrgyz Republic has reduced NMR by 54%, with the leading causes of death attributable to prematurity and asphyxia. Neonates born pre-term small-for-gestational age are over 80 times more likely to die in their first month of life, compared to those born full term, appropriate-for-gestational age. With the exception of contraceptive use, coverage of essential interventions is increasing and exceptionally high with limited sociodemographic inequities. By 2030, improved case management of premature babies will save the most neonatal lives.

Interpretation: The Kyrgyz Republic has reduced NMR considerably, with the potential for further reduction given its remarkably high coverage and low inequities of preventative maternal and newborn health interventions. A particular focus is needed on scaling-up packages of interventions to care for small and sick babies, assuring quality of care in all healthcare facilities, and creating a linked national registry system for mothers and newborns.

Funding Statement: US Fund for UNICEF under the Countdown to 2015 and UNICEF Kyrgyzstan

Declaration of Interests: All authors declare no competing interests.

Keywords: Countdown to 2030; Newborn Mortality; Kyrgyz Republic; Equity; Health Systems

Suggested Citation

Kamali, Mahdis and Wright, James E and Akseer, Nadia and Tasic, Hana and Conway, Kaitlin and Brar, Saman and Imanaliev, Cholpon and Maritz, Gerrit and Rizvi, Arjumand and Stanbekov, Baktyiar and Abduvalieva, Sagynbu and Toialieva, Elvira and Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Trends and Determinants of Newborn Mortality in the Kyrgyz Republic: A Countdown Country Case Study (4/3/2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3571518 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3571518

Mahdis Kamali

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health ( email )

Toronto
Canada

James E Wright

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health ( email )

Toronto
Canada

Nadia Akseer

Johns Hopkins University - Bloomberg School of Public Health ( email )

Wolfe Street
Baltimore, MD 21205
United States

Modern Scientist Global ( email )

Ontario
Canada

HOME PAGE: http://www.modernscientistglobal.com

Hana Tasic

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health ( email )

Toronto
Canada

Kaitlin Conway

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health ( email )

Toronto
Canada

Saman Brar

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health ( email )

Toronto
Canada

Cholpon Imanaliev

United Nations - Kyrgyzstan Office ( email )

Kyrgyzstan

Gerrit Maritz

United Nations - Kyrgyzstan Office ( email )

Kyrgyzstan

Arjumand Rizvi

Aga Khan University - Centre of Excellence in Women and Child Health ( email )

Pakistan

Baktyiar Stanbekov

Ministry of Health, Kyrgyzstan - Electronic Health Center ( email )

Kyrgyzstan

Sagynbu Abduvalieva

Ministry of Health, Kyrgyzstan - National Center of Mother and Child Health ( email )

Kyrgyzstan

Elvira Toialieva

Independent ( email )

Zulfiqar A Bhutta (Contact Author)

University of Toronto - Centre for Global Child Health ( email )

Toronto
Canada

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