Download This PaperA Statistical Estimation of Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Population in Wuhan
2 Pages Posted: 13 Apr 2020
Date Written: February 3, 2020
Abstract
Wu et al., (2020) used a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered metapopulation model to estimate that 75815 individuals have been infected in Wuhan as of Jan 25, 2020. In this correspondence, I use a statistical model to show that the average infection population in Wuhan is 153,177 persons, with 95% confidence level to say that the upper bound and low bound of infection populations are 227,709 and 78,645 persons, respectively.
Keywords: Pandemic; Epidemiology; Global health crisis
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Yin, Yong, A Statistical Estimation of Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Population in Wuhan (February 3, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3573499 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3573499
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