lancet-header

Preprints with The Lancet is a collaboration between The Lancet Group of journals and SSRN to facilitate the open sharing of preprints for early engagement, community comment, and collaboration. Preprints available here are not Lancet publications or necessarily under review with a Lancet journal. These preprints are early-stage research papers that have not been peer-reviewed. The usual SSRN checks and a Lancet-specific check for appropriateness and transparency have been applied. The findings should not be used for clinical or public health decision-making or presented without highlighting these facts. For more information, please see the FAQs.

COVID-19: Effectiveness of Widespread Diagnostic Tests to Prevent Health Care Collapse in the Veneto Region, Italy

14 Pages Posted: 5 May 2020

See all articles by Gaudenzio Meneghesso

Gaudenzio Meneghesso

University of Padua - Department of Information Engineering

Francesco Garzotto

Istituto Oncologico Veneto – IRCCS - Health Directorate Unit

Rosario Rizzuto

University of Padua - Department of Biomedical Sciences

Roberto Vettor

University of Padua - Department of Medicine DIMED

More...

Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic affects >1·5 million people in 210 countries. To prevent the spread of the epidemy, countries have applied severe social distancing policies. As to tracing and isolation of affected individuals, in the 20 most affected nations (that cover nearly 90% of total reported cases) the policies have been very different, with testing for SARS-Cov-2 ranging from <300 to >20,00 per million of inhabitants. Italy was the first severely affected European country, where the containment measures have thus been applied earlier, thus represents an important case study. Its health system is regionally regulated and while social distancing measures have soon been applied nationally, molecular testing and home isolation policies have been partly different in the various regions. We here report the case of Veneto, one of the most severely affected Italian Region.

Methods: Timely lockdown and widespread diagnostic tests aimed at reducing the likelihood of transmission have been adopted to break the chain of infection since the early cluster detected.

Findings: 40·50 tests per million inhabitants were performed. A peak of 356 patients admitted to the ICUs represent the 72% of the standard regional capacity; 2068 were hospitalized and 9052 in quarantine. The total number of hospitalized, ICUs admissions and deaths grew at a much slower pace than the other highly affected regions of Northern Italy.

Interpretation: Presented data indicates the effectiveness of timely lockdown and widespread diagnostic tests in preventing COVID-19 diffusion and the subsequent collapse of health care capacity.

Funding Statement: Not applicable.

Declaration of Interests: All authors report no conflict of interest to declare.

Keywords: COVID-19, lockdown, widespread diagnostic tests, Italy-Veneto

Suggested Citation

Meneghesso, Gaudenzio and Garzotto, Francesco and Rizzuto, Rosario and Vettor, Roberto, COVID-19: Effectiveness of Widespread Diagnostic Tests to Prevent Health Care Collapse in the Veneto Region, Italy (4/13/2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3576942 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3576942

Gaudenzio Meneghesso (Contact Author)

University of Padua - Department of Information Engineering ( email )

Via Gradenigo 6/a
Padova
Italy

Francesco Garzotto

Istituto Oncologico Veneto – IRCCS - Health Directorate Unit

64, Via Gattamelata
35128 Padova
Italy

Rosario Rizzuto

University of Padua - Department of Biomedical Sciences

35131 Padua
Italy

Roberto Vettor

University of Padua - Department of Medicine DIMED

35122 Padua
Italy

Click here to go to TheLancet.com

Paper statistics

Downloads
118
Abstract Views
1,823
PlumX Metrics