Download This PaperIs the Era of Public Urban Transport Over?
Danilenko D.V. — Is the era of public urban transport over? (Revised version) // SENTENTIA. European Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences. – 2019. – № 3. – С. 38 - 55. DOI: 10.25136/1339-3057.2019.3.30466
33 Pages Posted: 13 May 2020
Date Written: 2019
Abstract
The article tackles new technologies impact on urban transportation and gives some projections on how the future of urban passenger transit and urban goods transportation would look like. The research is centered mainly on the impact of those technologies on modal choice and explains how the impact of new theologies will contribute to the obsolescence of the public urban transport. Several factors are taken into account to support this idea. Projections on decrease in urban transport are based on major challenges of labor market (automation and teleworking), as well as ecommerce development, which will cut the demand for public transport ridership by half. Those trends will also substantially reduce the car ownership, and thus contribute to traffic decongestion. At the same time, shared-ridership platforms (Uber, etc.) have significantly decreased the cost of transit by private means of transport, equal to some fares of public transport, whereas driverless and electric cars will further decrease the cost of transit by private means of transport up to making public transport unnecessary.
Keywords: Urban Transport, urban transit, public transport, car, new technologies, modal choice
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