Too Many Men, Too Short Lives: The Effect of the Male-Biased Sex Ratio on Mortality

40 Pages Posted: 27 Apr 2020 Last revised: 6 May 2025

See all articles by Simon Chang

Simon Chang

University of Western Australia - Department of Economics; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Kamhon Kan

Academia Sinica - Institute of Economics

Xiaobo Zhang

Peking University - National School of Development

Abstract

Using a natural experiment in Taiwan, this paper shows that exposure to male-biased sex ratios at the marriageable ages is associated with a greater likelihood of death in later life. Half a million soldiers from Mainland China who retreated to Taiwan after a civil war in the late 1940s were subject to a marriage ban. When the ban was lifted in 1959, the great influx of the soldiers into the marriage market suddenly tipped the balance in favor of women. We have found that men subject to this massive marriage market squeeze exhibited higher mortality rates at age 50–64. Surprisingly, the deadly effect, albeit of a much smaller magnitude, is also found among women. We show that this is likely driven by the widowhood effect—women's mortality rate increased after their husbands' deaths.

Keywords: marriage market, mortality, sex ratio, widowhood effect

JEL Classification: I1, J1

Suggested Citation

Chang, Kang-Hung and Kan, Kamhon and Zhang, Xiaobo, Too Many Men, Too Short Lives: The Effect of the Male-Biased Sex Ratio on Mortality. IZA Discussion Paper No. 13162, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3584925

Kang-Hung Chang (Contact Author)

University of Western Australia - Department of Economics ( email )

35 Stirling Highway
Crawley, Western Australia 6009
Australia
+61-8-64882893 (Phone)

IZA Institute of Labor Economics ( email )

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Kamhon Kan

Academia Sinica - Institute of Economics ( email )

128 Academia Road, Section 2
Nankang
Taipei, 11529
Taiwan

Xiaobo Zhang

Peking University - National School of Development ( email )

Beijing, 100871
China

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