Quantifying the Risk of Starting a Train

2 Pages Posted: 8 May 2020

Date Written: April 28, 2020

Abstract

If we open one train from Delhi, the probability that at least one person would be infected is 23%. This hypergeometric probability is approximated as a binomial. It can be used to determine the number of people allowed to gather to keep this risk below a certain threshold.

Keywords: Corona, Risk Quantifying, Public Policy

JEL Classification: H84

Suggested Citation

Singh, Preet Deep, Quantifying the Risk of Starting a Train (April 28, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3587332 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3587332

Preet Deep Singh (Contact Author)

Apna.Co ( email )

Diamond District
Koramangala
Bengaluru, 380014
India

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