The Growth Impact of Disasters in Developing Asia

31 Pages Posted: 4 May 2020

See all articles by Benno Ferrarini

Benno Ferrarini

Asian Development Bank

Suzette Dagli

Asian Development Bank

Date Written: June 26, 2019

Abstract

This paper estimates the growth impact of disasters, with a focus on developing Asia and its subregions. It finds that severe disasters slow down annual growth in the Pacific island countries by between 1 and 2 percentage points on average. This should come as no surprise, given these economies’ extreme exposure, structural vulnerability, and small size relative to the footprint of major natural hazards. The growth impact is less clear for other regions and worldwide, mainly because disaster effects tend to be highly localized and get diluted in the context of cross-country regressions with nationwide growth as the unit of analysis.

Keywords: developing Asia, disasters, economic growth, natural hazards

JEL Classification: O47, Q51, Q54

Suggested Citation

Ferrarini, Benno and Dagli, Suzette, The Growth Impact of Disasters in Developing Asia (June 26, 2019). Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series No. 585, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3590181 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3590181

Benno Ferrarini (Contact Author)

Asian Development Bank ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

Suzette Dagli

Asian Development Bank ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

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