The green transition of the EU economy will require substantial investment to 2030 and beyond. Estimates of green investment needs vary between institutions and are surrounded by high uncertainty, but they all point to a requirement for faster and more ambitious action. Green investment will need to be financed primarily by the private sector. While banks are expected to make a key contribution to funding the green transition, capital markets need to deepen further, especially to support innovation financing. Progress on the capital markets union would support the green transition. Public funds will be vital to complement and de-risk private green investment. Structural reforms and enhanced business conditions should be tailored to encourage firms, households and investors to step up their green investment activities.
Keywords: financing, fiscal policy, green transition, investment, structural policy
Nerlich, Carolin and Köhler Ulbrich, Petra and Andersson, Malin and Pasqua, Carlo and Abraham, Laurent and Bańkowski, Krzysztof and Emambakhsh, Tina and Ferrando, Annalisa and Grynberg, Charlotte and Groß, Johannes and Hoendervangers, Lucia and Kostakis, Vasileios and Momferatou, Daphne and Rau-Göhring, Matthias and Rariga, Judit and Rusinova, Desislava and Setzer, Ralph and Spaggiari, Martina and Tamburrini, Fabio and Vendrell, Josep Maria and Vinci, Francesca, Investing in Europe's Green Future: Green Investment Needs, Outlook and Obstacles to Funding the Gap (January, 2025). ECB Occasional Paper No. 2025/367, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5088767 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5088767