Bounds Analysis of Competing Risks: A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Migration in Germany

31 Pages Posted: 11 Sep 2007 Last revised: 26 Aug 2008

See all articles by Melanie Arntz

Melanie Arntz

ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Simon Lo

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Ralf A. Wilke

Copenhagen Business School - Department of Economics; Center for European Economic Research (ZEW); Government of the Federal Republic of Germany - Institute for Employment Research (IAB)

Date Written: 2007

Abstract

In this paper we derive nonparametric bounds for the cumulative incidence curve within a competing risks model with partly identified interval data. As an advantage over earlier attempts our approach also gives valid results in case of dependent competing risks. We apply our framework to empirically evaluate the effect of unemployment benefits on observed migration of unemployed workers in Germany. Our findings weakly indicate that reducing the entitlement length for unemployment benefits increases migration among high-skilled individuals.

Keywords: cumulative incidence curve, partially missing data, bounds analysis, difference-in-difference

JEL Classification: C41, C14, J61

Suggested Citation

Arntz, Melanie and Lo, Simon and Wilke, Ralf A., Bounds Analysis of Competing Risks: A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Migration in Germany (2007). ZEW - Centre for European Economic Research Discussion Paper No. 07-049, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1010286 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1010286

Melanie Arntz (Contact Author)

ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research ( email )

P.O. Box 10 34 43
L 7,1 D-68161 Mannheim
Germany

Simon Lo

affiliation not provided to SSRN

No Address Available

Ralf A. Wilke

Copenhagen Business School - Department of Economics ( email )

Solbjerg Plads 3
Frederiksberg C, DK - 2000
Denmark

Center for European Economic Research (ZEW) ( email )

P.O. Box 10 34 43
L 7,1 D-68161 Mannheim
Germany

Government of the Federal Republic of Germany - Institute for Employment Research (IAB) ( email )

Regensburger Str. 104
Nuremberg, 90478
Germany

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