Explaining the Great Moderation: It is Not the Shocks

20 Pages Posted: 26 Feb 2008

See all articles by Domenico Giannone

Domenico Giannone

International Monetary Fund (IMF); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Michele Lenza

European Central Bank (ECB)

Lucrezia Reichlin

London Business School; Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); European Central Bank (ECB)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: February 2008

Abstract

This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the decline in the volatility of exogenous shocks but rather a change in their propagation mechanism.

Keywords: Shocks, Information, Great Moderation

JEL Classification: E32, E37, C32, C53

Suggested Citation

Giannone, Domenico and Lenza, Michele and Reichlin, Lucrezia, Explaining the Great Moderation: It is Not the Shocks (February 2008). ECB Working Paper No. 865, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1090279 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1090279

Domenico Giannone (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Michele Lenza

European Central Bank (ECB) ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

Lucrezia Reichlin

London Business School ( email )

Sussex Place
Regent's Park
London, London NW1 4SA
United Kingdom

Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES) ( email )

Ave. Franklin D Roosevelt, 50 - C.P. 114
Brussels, B-1050
Belgium
+32 2 650 4221 (Phone)
+32 2 650 4475 (Fax)

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

European Central Bank (ECB) ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?

Paper statistics

Downloads
152
Abstract Views
1,075
Rank
350,183
PlumX Metrics