The Impact of Fiscal Rules on Public Finances: Theory and Empirical Evidence for the Euro Area
26 Pages Posted: 18 Jan 2011
Date Written: December 30, 2010
Abstract
This paper presents a review of the most significant fiscal rules policymakers can choose from. The insights from this review are then applied to the current budgetary situation of the European Union. In the European Union, the supranational Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) should provide the necessary guidance in limiting governmental borrowing by member states. In addition to the SGP, European countries are implementing various other fiscal rules that bind central, regional and local governments. We provide empirical estimates of the effect of fiscal rules on fiscal balance, government spending and government revenues, using a Fiscal Rule Index. We find that fiscal rules have some effect on fiscal balances.
Keywords: euro area, fiscal policy, policy rules, fiscal sustainability
JEL Classification: F31, F41, G15
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation