The Macroeconomic Effects of Losing Autonomous Monetary Policy after the Euro Adoption in Poland
National Bank of Poland Working Paper No. 58
46 Pages Posted: 2 Feb 2011
Date Written: May 1, 2009
Abstract
There are many issues associated with the Eurozone accession of Poland. The goal of this paper is to analyse one, but very important aspect, namely – the macroeconomic impact of the loss of autonomous monetary policy. In order to answer this question, we build a two country DSGE model with sticky prices. We begin by evaluating the performance of our model. Next, we investigate how joining the Eurozone will affect the business cycle behaviour of the main macroeconomic variables in Poland. We find that the Euro adoption will have a noticeable impact on the Polish economic fluctuations. In particular, the volatility of domestic output increases and the volatility of inflation decreases. Also, in order to quantify the effect of the Euro adoption, we compute the welfare effect of this monetary policy change. Our findings suggest that the welfare cost is not large.
Keywords: Monetary Policy, EMU Accession Countries, Euro
JEL Classification: E52, E58, F41, F33
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy
By Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, ...
-
Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy
By Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, ...
-
An Estimated Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Optimal Monetary Policy with Staggered Wage and Price Contracts
By Christopher J. Erceg, Dale W. Henderson, ...
-
Shocks and Frictions in Us Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Shocks and Frictions in U.S. Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Resuscitating Real Business Cycles
By Robert G. King and Sergio T. Rebelo
-
Has Monetary Policy Become More Effective?
By Jean Boivin and Marc P. Giannoni