Geopolitical Drivers of Future Tourist Flows
Journal of Tourism Futures, 1(1), 59-69, 2014
11 Pages Posted: 28 Sep 2014
Date Written: 2014
Abstract
Purpose – This paper investigates the major political and economic changes in the world and the likely impact that these changes will bring to tourism and hospitality industries.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper adopts a geopolitical perspective on the dynamics of tourist flows, stipulating that geopolitics has a major impact on the size, structure and direction of these flows.
Findings – The paper identifies 6 geopolitical drivers of tourist flows in the future, namely: the fall of the American Empire, the rise of the BRIC and the PINE countries, increased global political instability, increased importance of regional supranational organisations, greater control of the individuals on a global scale, and the greater importance and power of corporations than national governments.
Originality/value – The paper critically evaluates the geopolitical drivers of tourist flows, their likely future development and the impact they have on tourism.
Keywords: tourism, future of tourism, USA, globalisation, BRICs, PINEs
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