Social Risk and Vulnerability Assessment of the Hazardous Hydrological Phenomena in the Krasnodar Region of Russia

GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY, 4(7)

22 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2015

See all articles by Stepan Zemtsov

Stepan Zemtsov

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research

Vyacheslav Baburin

Moscow State University

Klaus Koltermann

Moscow State University

Inna Krylenko

Moscow State University

Natalia Yumina

Moscow State University

Vladimir Litvinov

Moscow State University

Date Written: 2014

Abstract

Methods and results of social vulnerability and risk assessment are presented in the article. It is explored if modified methodology of the United Nations University (World risk index) can be used on different scale levels: regional, municipal and settlement. It was estimated that, despite the low value of the World risk index for Russia, southern coastal and mountain regions have high values of the risk index for hydrological phenomena because of higher frequency of the hazardous events, higher population density, and high social vulnerability. The Krasnodar region (in the south-western part of Russia) was chosen for a detailed analysis. A municipal risk index was developed, and municipal districts in the Kuban river mouth were identified as territories with the highest risk. For verification of the index results, the percentage of vulnerable people was estimated based on opinion polls. The results can be used in further risk calculation for other hazardous phenomena.

Keywords: social vulnerability, hazardous hydrological phenomena, risk assessment, Russian regions, coastal areas

JEL Classification: Q54, Q56, Q50

Suggested Citation

Zemtsov, Stepan and Baburin, Vyacheslav and Koltermann, Klaus and Krylenko, Inna and Yumina, Natalia and Litvinov, Vladimir, Social Risk and Vulnerability Assessment of the Hazardous Hydrological Phenomena in the Krasnodar Region of Russia (2014). GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY, 4(7), Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2594155

Stepan Zemtsov (Contact Author)

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia
+7(985)992-62-55 (Phone)

Vyacheslav Baburin

Moscow State University ( email )

GSP-2, Leninskie Gory
Moscow, 119992
Russia

Klaus Koltermann

Moscow State University ( email )

GSP-2, Leninskie Gory
Moscow, 119992
Russia

Inna Krylenko

Moscow State University ( email )

GSP-2, Leninskie Gory
Moscow, 119992
Russia

Natalia Yumina

Moscow State University ( email )

GSP-2, Leninskie Gory
Moscow, 119992
Russia

Vladimir Litvinov

Moscow State University ( email )

GSP-2, Leninskie Gory
Moscow, 119992
Russia

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