A Screening Model for Corporate Bond Picking
28 Pages Posted: 19 Oct 2017
Date Written: January 1, 2017
Abstract
This paper models how to calculate credit spreads on high-yield bond issues if the corporation has no underlying traded stocks. The model is developed from existing literature and from an intuitive idea and will not use outdated financial ratios and variables. We find that the use of outdated financial ratios and variables — which are dependent on underlying stocks traded — are not necessary to develop a model which maintains an acceptable explanatory power around 70% (R2 ) of the credit spread. The model was back-tested using archival data. The results confirm the usefulness of the model. Our model is among the first that helps investors in picking profitable bonds from companies that are not listed at a stock exchange.
Keywords: Screening Tool, Corporate Bonds, High-Yield Bonds, Non-Listed Corporations
JEL Classification: G12, M10, M21, M41
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