Monetary and Fiscal History of Peru 1960-2010: Radical Policy Experiments, Inflation and Stabilization

51 Pages Posted: 31 Aug 2018

See all articles by César Martinelli

César Martinelli

George Mason University - Department of Economics

Marco Vega

Central Reserve Bank of Peru

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: August 8, 2018

Abstract

We describe Peru’s experience of chronic inflation through the 1970s and 1980s as a result of the need for inflationary taxation in a regime of fiscal dominance of monetary policy. Hyperinflation occurred when further debt accumulation became unavailable, and a populist administration engaged in a counterproductive policy of price controls and loose credit. We interpret the fiscal difficulties preceding the stabilization as a process of social learning to live within the realities of fiscal budget balance. The credibility of policy regime change in the 1990s may be linked ultimately to the change in public opinion giving proper incentives to politicians, after the traumatic consequences of the hyper stagflation of 1987-1990.

Keywords: Peru, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, Hyperinflation, Economic History

JEL Classification: O54, N16, N26

Suggested Citation

Martinelli, César and Vega, Marco Antonio, Monetary and Fiscal History of Peru 1960-2010: Radical Policy Experiments, Inflation and Stabilization (August 8, 2018). GMU Working Paper in Economics No. 18-21, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3241872 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3241872

César Martinelli (Contact Author)

George Mason University - Department of Economics ( email )

4400 University Drive
Fairfax, VA 22030
United States

Marco Antonio Vega

Central Reserve Bank of Peru ( email )

Jirón Miroquesada 441
Lima, Lima Lima 1
Peru

HOME PAGE: http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/

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