The Attack Rate of the COVID-19 in a Year

Abstract

In this work, we showed that the classical theory of final size overestimated the infection attack rate in 2009 and 1918 influenza pandemic, if we only focus the first year.

Note: Funding: DH was supported by General Research Fund (15205119) of Research Grants Council of Hong Kong and an Alibaba-Hong Kong Polytechnic University Collaborative Research project.

Conflict of Interest: DH was supported by an Alibaba (China) - Hong Kong Polytechnic University Collaborative Research project. Other authors declare no competing interests.

Ethical Approval Statement: The ethical approval or individual consent was not applicable.

Keywords: attack rate; COVID-19; influenza