Retail Bubble Riders
48 Pages Posted: 7 Jun 2022 Last revised: 29 Jan 2023
Date Written: November 7, 2022
Abstract
We investigate the behavior of retail traders during repeated bubble episodes using detailed data from the Bombay Stock Exchange. We show that, after controlling for attrition, retail traders are more likely to participate in bubble stocks if they have prior bubble experience. Retail traders making extreme profits in the previous bubble episodes are less prone to engaging in future bubble riding. Moving from extreme profits to extreme losses in the previous bubble episodes monotonically increases the likelihood of future bubble participation. This pattern is consistent with the break-even effect observed in the context of prospect theory preferences.
Keywords: Bubbles, Retail traders, Break-even effect
JEL Classification: G12, G14
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation