Valuation and Optimal Surrender of Variable Annuities with Guaranteed Minimum Benefits and Periodic Fees

40 Pages Posted: 5 Jan 2022 Last revised: 27 Oct 2022

See all articles by Justin Kirkby

Justin Kirkby

Georgia Institute of Technology - The H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial & Systems Engineering (ISyE)

Jean-Philippe Aguilar

Société Générale

Date Written: January 1, 2022

Abstract

This work studies the valuation and optimal surrender of variable (equity-linked) annuities under a L\'evy-driven equity market with mortality risk. We consider a practical periodic fee structure which can vary over time, and is assessed as a proportion of the fund value. At maturity, the fund value is returned to the policyholder according to a guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit (GMAB). Mortality risk is also modeled discretely, and the contract offers a guaranteed minimum death benefit (GMBD) prior to maturity. The benefits accommodate caps on the growth of funds (in addition to the rising floor) to reduce the fee level, and as a disincentive to early surrender. Interest rates are modeled via a deterministic discounting term structure, which can be calibrated (bootstrapped) to the rates market, according to market convention.

An efficient and accurate valuation framework is developed, along with closed form pricing formulas in the case where policy surrender is not permitted. Numerous experiments are conducted to illustrate the interplay between contract parameters and the decision to surrender, and we provide an extensive analysis that investigates how to structure contracts to disincentivize early surrender.

Keywords: Surrender, equity-linked, variable annuity, GMDB, GMAB, Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefit, GMxB, Levy, variable annuity, mortality, pricing, valuation, lapse

JEL Classification: G13, G22, G23, C15

Suggested Citation

Kirkby, Justin and Aguilar, Jean-Philippe, Valuation and Optimal Surrender of Variable Annuities with Guaranteed Minimum Benefits and Periodic Fees (January 1, 2022). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3998217 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3998217

Justin Kirkby (Contact Author)

Georgia Institute of Technology - The H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial & Systems Engineering (ISyE) ( email )

765 Ferst Drive
Atlanta, GA 30332-0205
United States

Jean-Philippe Aguilar

Société Générale ( email )

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