Ratings, Commercial Paper, and Equity Returns

Abstract

We present the first evidence that initial ratings of commercial paper influence common stock returns. Highly-rated industrial issues of commercial paper, unaccompanied by bank letters of credit, are associated with significantly positive abnormal returns; lower-rated issues are not. The stock price effects of changes in commercial paper ratings also demonstrate the relevance of ratings to the financing of firms. Rating downgrades, especially those that imply an exit from the commercial paper market, produce significantly negative abnormal returns; upgrades have no effects. Initial commercial paper ratings and subsequent re-ratings appear to help investors sort firms by their future prospects.

Keywords: Commercial paper, ratings, abnormal returns, letters of credit

JEL Classification: G14, G30, G32