Split-Sample Score Tests in Linear Instrumental Variables Regression
43 Pages Posted: 12 Apr 2007
Date Written: June 26, 2007
Abstract
In this paper we design two split-sample score tests for subsets of structural coefficients in a linear Instrumental Variables (IV) regression. Sample splitting serves two purposes - 1) validity of the resultant tests does not depend on the identifiability of the coefficients being tested and 2) it combines information from two unrelated samples, one of which need not contain information on the dependent variable. The tests are performed on sub-sample one using the regression coefficients obtained from running the so-called first stage regression on sub-sample two (sample not containing information on the dependent variable). The first test uses the Unbiased-Split-Sample IV (USSIV) estimator of the remaining structural coefficients constrained by the hypothesized value of the structural coefficients of interest [see Angrist and Krueger (1995)]. We call this the USSIV score test. When the usual regularity conditions are satisfied, the USSIV score test is asymptotically equivalent to the standard score test based on sub-sample one. However, the USSIV score test can be over-sized if the remaining structural coefficients are not identified. This motivates a new score-type test based on a general technique proposed by Robins (2004). The new test is never over-sized and if the remaining structural coefficients are identified, this test is asymptotically equivalent to USSIV score test against square root of n-local alternatives.
Keywords: hypothesis tests, instrumental variables, partial identification, split sample, weak instruments
JEL Classification: C12, C21
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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