Consumer Credit: Too Much or Too Little (or Just Right)?

28 Pages Posted: 28 Nov 2013 Last revised: 13 Apr 2023

See all articles by Jonathan Zinman

Jonathan Zinman

Dartmouth College; Innovations for Poverty Action; Jameel Poverty Action Lab; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Date Written: November 2013

Abstract

The intersection of research and policy on consumer credit often has a Goldilocks feel. Some researchers and policymakers posit that consumer credit markets produce too much credit. Other researchers and policymakers posit that markets produce too little credit. I review theories and evidence on inefficient consumer credit supply. For each of eight classes of theories I sketch some of the leading models and summarize any convincing empirical tests of those models. I also discuss more "circumstantial" evidence that does not map tightly into a particular model but has the potential to shed light on, or obscure, answers to key questions. Overall there is a lack of convincing evidence on whether markets err, and in which direction. We do not yet understand whether and under what conditions markets over-supply or under-supply credit, much less why.

Suggested Citation

Zinman, Jonathan, Consumer Credit: Too Much or Too Little (or Just Right)? (November 2013). NBER Working Paper No. w19682, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2360950

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