1.
Macro vs. Micro Earnings, 'Macro-Earnings Negativity', and an Introduction to a Composite Valuation Model
Number of pages: 50
Posted: 22 Feb 2013
Last Revised: 22 Feb 2019
Working Paper Series
Independent
Downloads
3,745
2.
The Delphi Method (El Metodo Delphi)
Number of pages: 17
Posted: 29 Jul 2003
Working Paper Series
Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation
Downloads
2,354
3.
Benchmarking Report: Strategic Foresight in Multinational Companies
Research Report of the European Corporate Foresight Group: Berlin, Germany
Number of pages: 38
Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Working Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin), Universität Hamburg, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences and Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin)
Downloads
2,089
4.
Corporate Foresight: Its Three Roles in Enhancing the Innovation Capacity of a Firm
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 78, No. 2, pp. 231-243
Number of pages: 31
Posted: 31 May 2010
Last Revised: 12 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and Technical University of Berlin
Downloads
1,989
5.
Harnessing a Network of Experts for Competitive Advantage: Technology Scouting in the ICT Industry
R&D Management, Vol. 40, No. 2, pp. 169-180, 2010
Number of pages: 11
Posted: 08 Jan 2010
Last Revised: 12 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
There are 2 versions of this paper
Harnessing a Network of Experts for Competitive Advantage: Technology Scouting in the ICT Industry
R&D Management, Vol. 40, No. 2, pp. 169-180, 2010
Number of pages: 11
Posted: 08 Jan 2010
Last Revised: 12 Jun 2014
Downloads
1,912
Harnessing a Network of Experts for Competitive Advantage: Technology Scouting in the ICT Industry
R&D Management, Vol. 40, Issue 2, pp. 169-180, March 2010
Number of pages: 12
Posted: 09 Feb 2010
Downloads
4
Downloads
1,912
6.
Market Competition, Earnings Management, and Persistence in Accounting Profitability around the World
Review of Accounting Studies, Volume 19, Issue 4, pp 1281-1308, December 2014
Number of pages: 38
Posted: 21 Jun 2011
Last Revised: 01 Feb 2017
Accepted Paper Series
Harvard Business School, Harvard University - Harvard Business School, Harvard Business School and University of Michigan
Downloads
1,864
7.
The Value Contribution of Strategic Foresight: Insights from an Empirical Study on Large European Companies
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(8), 1593-1606 (2013)
Number of pages: 44
Posted: 30 Dec 2012
Last Revised: 06 Aug 2015
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and EBS Universität für Wirtschaft und Recht - EBS Business School
Downloads
1,508
8.
Strategic Foresight in Multinational Enterprises: Building a Best-Practice Framework from Case Studies
Emerging Methods in R&D Management Conference, pp. 10-20, 2008
Number of pages: 10
Posted: 13 Feb 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and Technical University of Berlin
Downloads
1,450
9.
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4750-09, Harvard Business School Finance Working Paper No. 1472892
Number of pages: 62
Posted: 15 Sep 2009
Last Revised: 08 Jan 2018
Working Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management
There are 2 versions of this paper
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4750-09, Harvard Business School Finance Working Paper No. 1472892
Number of pages: 62
Posted: 15 Sep 2009
Last Revised: 08 Jan 2018
Downloads
1,298
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
NBER Working Paper No. w15362
Number of pages: 68
Posted: 21 Sep 2009
Last Revised: 24 Jun 2010
Downloads
58
Downloads
1,298
10.
Sourcing Innovation from You Customer: How Multinational Enterprises Use Web Platforms for Virtual Customer Integration
Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, Vol. 22, No. 4, pp. 117–131, 2010,
Number of pages: 17
Posted: 09 Jan 2010
Last Revised: 09 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Deutsche Telekom Laboratories and TU Berlin
Downloads
1,288
11.
Estimating Expected Returns
Journal of Investing, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 25
Posted: 02 Oct 2002
Accepted Paper Series
NYU Tandon School of Engineering - Department of Finance and Risk Engineering
Downloads
1,254
12.
Forecasting Methods (Spanish Version)
Number of pages: 29
Posted: 23 Feb 2006
Working Paper Series
Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation
Downloads
1,193
13.
Support Vector Machines Approach to Predict the S&P CNX NIFTY Index Returns
10th Capital Markets Conference, Indian Institute of Capital Markets Paper
Number of pages: 19
Posted: 13 Feb 2007
Working Paper Series
Indian Institute of Technology Madras and Indian Institute of Technology Madras
Downloads
1,167
14.
Macroeconomics and the Reality of Mixed Frequency Data
Number of pages: 51
Posted: 29 May 2012
Last Revised: 11 Jul 2015
Working Paper Series
University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School
Downloads
1,106
15.
Exploring Value Creation from Corporate-Foresight Activities
Futures, 44(5), 440-452.
Number of pages: 28
Posted: 17 May 2011
Last Revised: 06 May 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads
1,100
16.
Economic Tracking Portfolios
CRSP Working Paper No. 489
Number of pages: 58
Posted: 09 Jul 1999
Working Paper Series
Harvard University - Department of Economics
There are 2 versions of this paper
Downloads
1,007
Economic Tracking Portfolios
NBER Working Paper No. w7055
Number of pages: 57
Posted: 18 Aug 2000
Last Revised: 16 Apr 2008
Downloads
54
Downloads
1,007
17.
Environmental Scanning, Futures Research, Strategic Foresight and Organizational Future Orientation: A Review, Integration, and Future Research Directions
ISPIM Annual Conference 2012, Barcelona, Spain
Number of pages: 14
Posted: 10 Jun 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and University of Kiel
Downloads
975
18.
Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 995
Number of pages: 70
Posted: 21 Aug 2003
Working Paper Series
University of Southern California - Department of Economics, Oliver Wyman , Mercer Oliver Wyman and Alliance Capital Management
Downloads
903
19.
Strategic Foresight for Collaborative Exploration of New Business Fields
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(5), 819-831.
Number of pages: 31
Posted: 11 Nov 2011
Last Revised: 12 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
University of Potsdam - Innovation Management and Entrepreneurship and Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads
891
20.
The Information Content of Forward and Futures Prices: Market Expectations and the Price of Risk
FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 808
Number of pages: 27
Posted: 02 Jul 2004
Working Paper Series
Purdue University - Department of Management, University of Pennsylvania - Finance Department and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads
816
21.
An Assessment of the Impact of Hiv/Aids on Economic Growth: The Case of Kenya
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1034
Number of pages: 38
Posted: 30 Sep 2003
Working Paper Series
KSMS/CBK and Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA)
Downloads
800
22.
Technology Foresight in the ICT Sector – Exploration of New Business Opportunities
2nd ISPIM Innovation Symposium: New York City, USA
Number of pages: 11
Posted: 16 Dec 2009
Last Revised: 11 Dec 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin) and Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads
800
23.
Macroeconomics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Forthcoming, Wharton Financial Institutions Center Working Paper No. 03-13
Number of pages: 60
Posted: 17 May 2003
Accepted Paper Series
University of Southern California - Department of Economics, Mercer Oliver Wyman, Oliver Wyman and Alliance Capital Management
Downloads
770
24.
Technology Scouting - a Case Study on the Deutsche Telekom Laboratories
ISPIM-Asia Conference 2007, New Delhi, India
Number of pages: 14
Posted: 27 Jul 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads
747
25.
Strategic Foresight at General Electric: About the Ability to Mobilize all Employees to Manage Outbreaks in the Business Environment to Succeed (German: Strategische Frühaufklärung bei General Electric: Von der Fähigkeit alle Mitarbeiter zu Mobilisieren um Umbrüche im Unternehmensumfeld erfolgreich zu managen)
VORAUSSCHAU UND TECHNOLOGIEPLANUNG, J. Gausemeier, Paderborn, ed., pp. 159-176, Heinz Nixdorf Institut, 2009
Number of pages: 21
Posted: 02 Dec 2009
Last Revised: 14 Jan 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Universität Hamburg, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences and Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads
676
26.
Concept and Mathematics of Islamic Financial Engineering
8th International Conference on Islamic Economics and Finance,
20 December 2011, Doha, Qatar
Number of pages: 21
Posted: 06 Aug 2012
Last Revised: 08 Aug 2012
Working Paper Series
Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University and ENAMEC Institute
Downloads
640
27.
Strategic Foresight - a Case Study on the Deutsche Telekom Laboratories
ISPIM-Asia Conference: New Delhi, India
Number of pages: 12
Posted: 27 Jul 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Deutsche Telekom AG and Deutsche Telekom AG - Deutsche Telekom Laboratories
Downloads
638
28.
Trend Scanning, Scouting and Foresight Techniques
Front End of Innovation: Managing the Unmanageable Fuzzy Side, Oliver Gassmann & Fiona Schweitzer, eds., 2013
Number of pages: 18
Posted: 23 Mar 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads
599
29.
Strategic Foresight in Multinational Companies (Veille Stratégique En Entreprise Multinationale: Une Étude De Cas Auprès De La Deutsche Telekom)
XVIème Conférence Internationale de Management Stratégique: Montréal, Canada,
Number of pages: 18
Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Last Revised: 17 Sep 2009
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads
592
30.
The Technology Radar - An Instrument of Technology Intelligence and Innovation Strategy
The 3rd IEEE ICMIT Conference, Singapore
Number of pages: 6
Posted: 27 Jul 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Deutsche Telekom AG - Deutsche Telekom Laboratories and Deutsche Telekom AG
Downloads
573
31.
A Small Macro-Econometric Model for Greece: Implications About the Sustainability of the Greek External Debt
Number of pages: 33
Posted: 13 Jul 2011
Last Revised: 15 Jul 2011
Working Paper Series
Hellenic Open University, University of Patras and Zayed University, College of Business
Downloads
563
32.
Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series: LASSO-Based Approaches and Their Forecast Combinations with Dynamic Factor Models
Number of pages: 43
Posted: 19 Mar 2014
Working Paper Series
University of Notre Dame and University of Notre Dame
Downloads
552
33.
Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting
DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 899
Number of pages: 26
Posted: 02 Sep 2009
Working Paper Series
IZA Institute of Labor Economics and Harvard University
There are 3 versions of this paper
Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting
DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 899
Number of pages: 26
Posted: 02 Sep 2009
Downloads
538
Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting
German Council for Social and Economic Data (RatSWD) Research Notes No. 41
Number of pages: 20
Posted: 30 Sep 2009
Downloads
295
Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting
IZA Discussion Paper No. 4201
Number of pages: 25
Posted: 08 Jun 2009
Downloads
212
Downloads
538
34.
A Bayesian Framework for Combining Valuation Estimates
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Vol. 30, No. 3, pp. 339-354, 2008
Number of pages: 28
Posted: 19 Jul 2007
Last Revised: 06 Nov 2008
Accepted Paper Series
Mellon Capital Management
Downloads
532
35.
A Blockchain-Enabled Participatory Decision Support Framework
Number of pages: 10
Posted: 07 Mar 2017
Working Paper Series
York University
Downloads
502
36.
Business Cycle Effects on Portfolio Credit Risk: Scenario Generation Through Dynamic Factor Analysis
Number of pages: 22
Posted: 15 Feb 2005
Working Paper Series
University of Palermo - d/SEAS and Iccrea Banca
Downloads
496
37.
Using Global VAR Models for Scenario-Based Forecasting and Policy Analysis
The GVAR Handbook: Structure and Applications of a Macro Model of the Global Economy for Policy Analysis (F. di Mauro and M.H. Pesaran eds.), Forthcoming.
Number of pages: 14
Posted: 23 Mar 2012
Last Revised: 14 Jul 2012
Working Paper Series
University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research and Independent
Downloads
493
38.
Combining Forecasts: An Application to Elections
International Journal of Forecasting, 30(1), 43-54, Revised and extended version of a paper presented at the American Political Science Association (APSA) 2011 Annual Meeting
Number of pages: 27
Posted: 01 Aug 2011
Last Revised: 30 Aug 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences, University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department, University of Central Oklahoma and University of West Florida
Downloads
484
39.
IT Tools for Foresight: The Integrated Insight and Response System of Deutsche Telekom Innovation Laboratories
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 97(8), 115-126 (2015)
Number of pages: 32
Posted: 29 Sep 2013
Last Revised: 06 Aug 2015
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin) and Deutsche Telekom AG
There are 2 versions of this paper
IT Tools for Foresight: The Integrated Insight and Response System of Deutsche Telekom Innovation Laboratories
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 97(8), 115-126 (2015)
Number of pages: 32
Posted: 29 Sep 2013
Last Revised: 06 Aug 2015
Downloads
472
IT Tools for Foresight: The Integrated Insight and Response System of Deutsche Telekom Innovation Laboratories
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 32
Posted: 29 Sep 2013
Downloads
26
Downloads
472
40.
Comprehensive Time-Series Regression Models Using Gretl — U.S. GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment from 1980 to 2013
Number of pages: 82
Posted: 21 Dec 2014
Last Revised: 18 Apr 2018
Working Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads
471
41.
Aggregate Earnings, Stock Market Returns and Macroeconomic Activity: A Discussion of 'Does Earnings Guidance Affect Market Returns? The Nature and Information Content of Aggregate Earnings Guidance'
Number of pages: 16
Posted: 27 Dec 2006
Working Paper Series
London Business School
Downloads
469
42.
Rational Expectations: Retrospect and Prospect
Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper, CHOPE Working Paper No. 2011-10
Number of pages: 46
Posted: 05 Jul 2011
Last Revised: 05 Jul 2011
Working Paper Series
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and Bar-Ilan University - Department of Economics
Downloads
460
43.
The Legacy of Surveillance: An Explanation for Social Capital Erosion and the Persistent Economic Disparity between East and West Germany
Number of pages: 47
Posted: 18 Feb 2010
Last Revised: 27 Jul 2010
Working Paper Series
WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management and Zeppelin University
Downloads
459
44.
The Effect of the Mining Boom on the Australian Economy
Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper No. 2014-08
Number of pages: 52
Posted: 10 Dec 2015
Working Paper Series
Reserve Bank of Australia, Government of the Commonwealth of Australia - Productivity Commission and Reserve Bank of Australia
Downloads
432
45.
Real Estate Mutual Funds: Performance and Persistence
Journal of Real Estate Research, Vol. 26, No. 1, 2004
Number of pages: 26
Posted: 04 Jan 2007
Accepted Paper Series
Eastern Illinois University - School of Business and Old Dominion University - Finance
Downloads
431
46.
Inflation Targeting and the Unemployment-Inflation Trade-Off
IMF Working Paper No. 01/166
Number of pages: 43
Posted: 21 Dec 2001
Working Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads
429
47.
Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: A Global VAR Analysis
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1425, ECB Working Paper No. 568, IEPR Working Paper No. 04.6
Number of pages: 68
Posted: 19 Jan 2005
Working Paper Series
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), University of Southern California - Department of Economics and University of York
Downloads
411
48.
An Important Predictor of Market Bubbles, Crashes and Corrections
Number of pages: 3
Posted: 07 Jun 2017
Working Paper Series
Laval University
Downloads
385
49.
Irrationality or Efficiency of Macroeconomic Survey Forecasts? Implications from the Anchoring Bias Test
Number of pages: 50
Posted: 03 Sep 2010
Last Revised: 26 May 2012
Working Paper Series
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance and University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance
There are 2 versions of this paper
Irrationality or Efficiency of Macroeconomic Survey Forecasts? Implications from the Anchoring Bias Test
Number of pages: 50
Posted: 03 Sep 2010
Last Revised: 26 May 2012
Downloads
365
Irrationality or Efficiency of Macroeconomic Survey Forecasts? Implications from the Anchoring Bias Test
Review of Finance, (Forthcoming)
Posted: 20 Sep 2012
Downloads
365
50.
Lessons for an Aging Society: The Political Sustainability of Social Security Systems
IGIER Working Paper No. 244; Boston College, Center for Retirement Research Working Paper No. 2004-07
Number of pages: 62
Posted: 30 Nov 2003
Working Paper Series
University of Lugano and Bocconi University - Department of Policy Analysis and Public Management
There are 2 versions of this paper
Lessons for an Aging Society: The Political Sustainability of Social Security Systems
IGIER Working Paper No. 244; Boston College, Center for Retirement Research Working Paper No. 2004-07
Number of pages: 62
Posted: 30 Nov 2003
Downloads
360
Lessons for an Aging Society: The Political Sustainability of Social Security Systems
Economic Policy, Vol. 19, No. 38, pp. 63-115, April 2004
Number of pages: 52
Posted: 04 May 2004
Downloads
16
Downloads
360
Feedback
Feedback to SSRN
If you need immediate assistance, call 877-SSRNHelp (877 777 6435) in the United States, or +1 212 448 2500 outside of the United States, 8:30AM to 6:00PM U.S. Eastern, Monday - Friday.