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JEL Code: E27

58,881 Total downloads

Viewing: 1 - 50 of 529 papers

1.

Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Expenditure? A Sentiment Index Horse Race

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 4, No. 2, June 1998
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 23 Oct 2007
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of New York and New York University - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,400
2.

Behavioral Finance Beyond the Markets: A Real-Time Case Study of Russia's Military Resurgence

The Journal of Behavioral Finance & Economics, Vol. 5, Issues 1-2, pp. 145-164, 2016
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 10 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2017
Accepted Paper Series
Socionomics Institute, Socionomics Institute and The Socionomics Institute
Downloads 1,356
3.

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4750-09, Harvard Business School Finance Working Paper No. 1472892
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 15 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 08 Jan 2018
Working Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 1,320
4.

Forecasting Methods (Spanish Version)

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 23 Feb 2006
Working Paper Series
Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation
Downloads 1,208
5.

Bubbles, Gullibility, and Other Challenges for Economics, Psychology, Sociology, and Information Sciences

First Monday, Vol. 15, No. 9, Sept. 2010
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 30 Aug 2010 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2015
Accepted Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads 1,132
6.

Collective Hallucinations and Inefficient Markets: The British Railway Mania of the 1840s

Number of pages: 322 Posted: 18 Jan 2010
Working Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads 1,087
7.

Exchange Rate and Industrial Commodity Volatility Transmissions and Hedging Strategies

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 16 Sep 2009
Working Paper Series
Montpellier Business School, Drexel University - Bennett S. LeBow College of Business and Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Downloads 1,069
8.

This Time is Different: An Example of a Giant, Wildly Speculative, and Successful Investment Mania

B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, Vol. 10, Issue 1, Article 60, 2010
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 23 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 27 Feb 2012
Accepted Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads 1,022
9.

Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Turkey

Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, Vol. 2, No. 4, 2013, pp.119-129
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 08 Dec 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Yildiz Technical University and Istanbul University - Faculty of Business Administration, Department of Finance
Downloads 1,008
10.

The Implications of an Ageing Population for the UK Economy

Bank of England Working Paper No. 159
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 10 Dec 2002
Working Paper Series
National Institute of Economic and Social Research
Downloads 994
11.

Rural Tourism and It’s Impact on Socioeconomic Condition: Evidence from West Bengal, India

Global Journal of Business Research, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 11-22, 2012
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 07 Jan 2012
Accepted Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Vishweshwarayya National Institute of Technology and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 970
12.

'Google It!' Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with A Google Job Search Index

FEEM Working Paper No. 31.2010
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 22 Apr 2010
Working Paper Series
Bank of Italy and Bank of Italy
Downloads 912
13.

The Three Horsemen of Riches: Plague, War and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe

Review of Economic Studies (2013), Forthcoming
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 12 Nov 2007 Last Revised: 13 May 2013
Accepted Paper Series
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Anderson School of Management and University of Zurich - UBS International Center of Economics in Society

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 843
14.

Why England? Demographic Factors, Structural Change and Physical Capital Accumulation During the Industrial Revolution

Journal of Economical Growth, Vol. 11, No. 4, 2006
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 08 Aug 2006 Last Revised: 12 Oct 2012
Working Paper Series
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Anderson School of Management and University of Zurich - UBS International Center of Economics in Society
Downloads 742
15.

Adaptive Market Timing with ETFs

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 29 Dec 2010
Working Paper Series
Independent
Downloads 737
16.

Functional Forms and Parametrization of Cge Models

PEP Working Paper No. 2006-04
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 27 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 11 Jul 2018
Working Paper Series
Université Laval - Département d'Économique, Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP) and Université Laval - Département d'Économique
Downloads 706
17.

Comprehensive Time-Series Regression Models Using Gretl — U.S. GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment from 1980 to 2013

Number of pages: 82 Posted: 21 Dec 2014 Last Revised: 17 Aug 2019
Working Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 654
18.

Charles Mackay's Own Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Railway Mania

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 14 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 27 Feb 2012
Working Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads 652
19.

Trade Liberalisation, Growth and Poverty in Senegal: A Dynamic Microsimulation Cge Model Analysis

CIRPEE Working Paper No. 05-12
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 15 May 2005 Last Revised: 16 Jul 2018
Working Paper Series
Université Laval - Département d'Économique, Université Cheikh Anta Diop, Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP) and Université Laval - Département d'Économique
Downloads 635
20.

What Dividend Imputation Means for Retirement Savers

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 05 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
Australian National University - Research School of Finance, Actuarial Studies & Statistics, Australian National University (ANU) and Australian National University (ANU) - Research School of Finance, Actuarial Studies and Statistics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 628
21.

Optimal World Oil Extraction: Calibrating and Simulating the Hotelling Model

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 12 Nov 2004
Working Paper Series
Cornell University
Downloads 571
22.

Forecasting Private Consumption: Survey-Based Indicators vs. Google Trends

Ruhr Economic Paper No. 155
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Nov 2009
Working Paper Series
Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI) and Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI-Essen)
Downloads 544
23.

Solution and Simulation of Large Stock Flow Consistent Monetary Production Models Via the Gauss Seidel Algorithm

Journal of Policy Modeling, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 09 Mar 2011
Working Paper Series
University of Limerick and University of Limerick - Kemmy Business School
Downloads 493
24.

News and the Term Structure in General Equilibrium

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 19 Oct 2007
Working Paper Series
Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO)
Downloads 478
25.

Population Aging in Japan: Demographic Shock and Fiscal Sustainability

IMF Working Paper No. 01/40
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Working Paper Series
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 472
26.

Are Forecast Updates Progressive?

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 14 Apr 2010
Working Paper Series
National Chung Hsing University - Department of Applied Economics, Department of Finance, Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics and Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Downloads 458
27.

Deficit Spending in the Nazi Recovery, 1933-1938: A Critical Reassessment

Zurich IEER Working Paper No. 68
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 09 Mar 2001
Working Paper Series
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Department of Economic History
Downloads 452
28.

Analyzing Macroeconomic Indicators of Economic Growth Using Panel Data

Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, Vol.2, No.3, 2013, pp 41-53
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 14 May 2013 Last Revised: 15 Aug 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Istanbul University - School of Business, Department of Quantitative Methods, Istanbul University - Faculty of Business Administration, Department of Finance and Istanbul University - School of Business - Department of Quantitative Techniques
Downloads 445
29.

Population Aging and its Macroeconomic Implications: A Framework for Analysis

IMF Working Paper No. 02/16
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 31 Jan 2006
Working Paper Series
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 418
30.

An Important Predictor of Market Bubbles, Crashes and Corrections

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 07 Jun 2017
Working Paper Series
Laval University
Downloads 417
31.

Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 03 Jun 2010
Working Paper Series
National Chung Hsing University - Department of Applied Economics, Department of Finance, Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics and Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Downloads 417
32.

Food and Agriculture in Afghanistan: A Long Term Outlook

AFGHANISTAN - HOW MUCH OF THE PAST IN THE NEW FUTURE, A. Palmisano and G. Ricco, eds., Gorizia, Italy: ISIG, 2007
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 08 Jan 2005
Accepted Paper Series
Universidad del Pacífico
Downloads 385
33.

Advances in Forecasting Under Instability

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 111
Number of pages: 141 Posted: 28 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 27 Sep 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 364
34.

Turning on the Light: Assessing the Impact of Brexit Using Electricity Demand as a Proxy

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 14 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 06 Aug 2017
Working Paper Series
London School of Economics - Centre for Economic Performance and London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)
Downloads 357
35.

Creating a Smarter Conditional Consensus Forecast

Financial Analysts Journal, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 20 Nov 2007 Last Revised: 01 Apr 2014
Working Paper Series
Temple University - Department of Accounting, Georgia State University - Department of Finance and Georgia State University
Downloads 328
36.

Reits and Idiosyncratic Risk

Journal of Real Estate Research, Vol. 26, No. 2, 2004
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 03 Jan 2007
Accepted Paper Series
Indiana University of Pennsylvania - Department of Finance and Legal Studies, Indiana University of Pennsylvania and Cleveland State University
Downloads 328
37.

An Important Inconsistency at the Heart of the Standard Macroeconomic Model

The Jerome Levy Economics Institute WP No. 236
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 24 Jun 1998
Working Paper Series
Bard College and The New School - Department of Economics
Downloads 327
38.

The Dynamics of Material Flows in Supply Chains

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 14 Sep 2007
Working Paper Series
Cardiff University - Cardiff Business School
Downloads 296
39.

Macroeconomic Stabilization Through an Employer of Last Resort

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 10 Dec 2010
Working Paper Series
Wartburg College
Downloads 293
40.

A New Index of Uncertainty Based on Internet Searches: A Friend or Foe of Other Indicators?

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1062,
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 12 Mar 2016
Working Paper Series
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna
Downloads 283
41.

Mission Implausible Iii: Measuring the Informal Sector in a Transition Economy Using Macro Methods

William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 683
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 31 May 2004
Working Paper Series
CERGE-EI (Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute) and University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM) - Ecole Nationale d'Administration Publique
Downloads 281
42.

How Much is Enough?: Monte Carlo Simulations of an Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria

IMF Working Paper No. 06/142
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 26 Jul 2006
Working Paper Series
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 279
43.

The Great Shift: Macroeconomic Projections for the World Economy at the 2050 Horizon

CEPII Working Paper No. 2012-3
Number of pages: 104 Posted: 15 Feb 2012
Working Paper Series
Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Info. Internationales (CEPII), Paris School of Economics (University Paris 1) and University of Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne
Downloads 278
44.

Predicting Consumer Default: A Deep Learning Approach

Number of pages: 68 Posted: 30 Oct 2019 Last Revised: 30 Oct 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pittsburgh and University of Pittsburgh

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 277
45.

A Review and Recommendation of Simulation Methodologies for Entrepreneurship Research

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 06 Dec 2009
Working Paper Series
Rutgers University
Downloads 274
46.

Forecasting With the Yield Curve; Level, Slope, and Output 1875-1997

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 06-11
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 21 May 2007
Working Paper Series
Rutgers University, New Brunswick - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 265
47.

Now-Casting Building Permits with Google Trends

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Feb 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Chicago - Department of Economics and Adolfo Ibanez University - School of Business
Downloads 262
48.

The Transition of China to Sustainable Growth – Implications for the Global Economy and the Euro Area

ECB Occasional Paper No. 206
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 31 Jan 2018
Working Paper Series
World Bank, Bank of England, Bank of England, Bank of Finland - Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 259
49.

Household Debt and Aggregate Consumption Expenditures

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 27 Oct 2000
Working Paper Series
Boston College - Department of Economics
Downloads 251
50.

Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis

Economics Bulletin, Vol. 32, Issue 2, April 2012
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 27 Apr 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Tokyo University of Science - School of Management

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 249