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Econometric Modeling: Forecasting eJournal

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Viewing: 1 - 50 of 2,028 papers

1.

Advances in Financial Machine Learning (Chapter 1)

Advances in Financial Machine Learning, Wiley, 1st Edition (2018); ISBN: 978-1-119-48208-6
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 19 Jan 2018
Accepted Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority
Downloads 12,791
2.

Does the Shiller-PE Work in Emerging Markets?

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 21 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 22 Jul 2012
Working Paper Series
Liberum Capital
Downloads 6,608
3.

Ten Financial Applications of Machine Learning (Seminar Slides)

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 18 Jun 2018 Last Revised: 27 Feb 2020
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority
Downloads 6,471
4.

Breadth Momentum and the Canary Universe: Defensive Asset Allocation (DAA)

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 01 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2021
Working Paper Series
VU University Amsterdam and TrendXplorer
Downloads 5,725
5.

Kinetic Component Analysis

Journal of Investing, Vol. 25, No. 3, 2016
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 May 2019 Last Revised: 30 May 2019
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority and University of Oxford - Mathematical Institute
Downloads 5,591
6.

From Forecast to Decisions in Graphical Models: A Natural Gradient Optimization Approach

Université Paris-Dauphine Research Paper No. 3813403
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 13 Apr 2021
Working Paper Series
Université Paris Dauphine, Université Paris Dauphine, AI For Alpha, Université Paris Dauphine and Université Paris-Dauphine, PSL Research University
Downloads 5,182
7.

Technological Innovation, Resource Allocation and Growth

Quarterly Journal of Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 22 Dec 2012 Last Revised: 02 Mar 2018
Accepted Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, Northwestern University - Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance, Stanford University and Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Finance

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 4,874
8.

An Improved Moving Average Technical Trading Rule

Quantf Research Working Paper Series No. WP01/2014
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 13 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 02 Jun 2014
Working Paper Series
Quantf Research and University of Athens, Department of Business Administration
Downloads 4,518
9.

Machine Learning for Asset Managers (Chapter 1)

Cambridge Elements, 2020
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 27 Apr 2020
Accepted Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority
Downloads 4,081
10.

Advances in Financial Machine Learning: Lecture 9/10 (seminar slides)

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 29 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2020
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority
Downloads 3,663
11.

Business News and Business Cycles

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 07 Sep 2019 Last Revised: 23 Sep 2021
Working Paper Series
Yale School of Management, Yale SOM, Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 3,634
12.

Statistical Association (Presentation Slides)

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 15 Jan 2020 Last Revised: 09 May 2022
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority
Downloads 3,602
13.

Forecasting Financial Time Series: Normal GARCH with Outliers or Heavy Tailed Distribution Assumptions?

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 11-45
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 10 Oct 2011 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2011
Working Paper Series
University of Munich and University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance
Downloads 3,314
14.

A Boosting Approach for Automated Trading

Journal of Trading, Vol. 2, No. 3, pp. 84-96.
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 17 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 20 Feb 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Stevens Institute of Technology, School of Business and University of California, San Diego
Downloads 3,166
15.

Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 20 Feb 2013 Last Revised: 21 Mar 2014
Working Paper Series
Cass Business School, Duke University - Fuqua School of Business and Square Macro

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 2,990
16.

The Case of Gold and Silver: A New Algorithm for Pairs Trading

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 10 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 10 Apr 2013
Working Paper Series
B.K.School of Business Management, Gujarat University, Shri Chimanbhai Patel Institute of Management & Research and Shri Chimanbhai Patel Institute of Management & Research
Downloads 2,828
17.

Automated Earnings Forecasts: Beat Analysts or Combine and Conquer?

Management Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 23 May 2017
Accepted Paper Series
The Stephen M. Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan and University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 2,705
18.

Systemic Risk and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Evaluation

Fama-Miller Working Paper, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 12-49
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 26 Oct 2012 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2015
Working Paper Series
Yale School of Management, Yale SOM and Arizona State University (ASU) - Finance Department

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 2,681
19.

Lazy Momentum with Growth-Trend timing: Resilient Asset Allocation (RAA)

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 11 Jan 2021 Last Revised: 10 Mar 2021
Working Paper Series
VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 2,292
20.

Predicting Bond Returns: 70 Years of International Evidence

Financial Analysts Journal, 2021, 77(3): 133-155.
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 24 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 23 Nov 2021
Accepted Paper Series
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR), Erasmus University Rotterdam and Robeco Asset Management
Downloads 2,176
21.

Crude Oil Price Forecasting Techniques: A Comprehensive Review of Literature

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 07 Jun 2013
Working Paper Series
University of Beira Interior - Department of Management and Economics and University of Beira Interior - Department of Management and Economics
Downloads 2,175
22.

Predicting Local Violence

Number of pages: 81 Posted: 29 Sep 2014 Last Revised: 22 Jun 2017
Working Paper Series
Brown University, University of Chicago, Harris School of Public Policy and University College of London
Downloads 2,049
23.

Financial Quantum Computing (Presentation Slides)

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 07 Oct 2016 Last Revised: 16 Jul 2018
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority
Downloads 1,748
24.

Mid-Price Prediction in a Limit Order Book

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 02 Jan 2015
Working Paper Series
Purdue University - School of Electrical and Computer Engineering and Purdue University
Downloads 1,667
25.

The Trend in Firm Profitability and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

The Accounting Review, 2017
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 17 Dec 2014 Last Revised: 31 Jan 2018
Accepted Paper Series
University of Illinois at Chicago, University of South Carolina - Department of Finance and Iowa State University - Finance Department
Downloads 1,661
26.

Forecasting with Option-Implied Information

Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2, G. Elliott and A. Timmermann (eds.)
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 08 Dec 2011 Last Revised: 11 Jul 2012
Working Paper Series
University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management, University of Houston - C.T. Bauer College of Business and Bank of Canada
Downloads 1,597
27.

An Accounting-Based Characteristic Model for Asset Pricing

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 30 Nov 2011 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2015
Working Paper Series
Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Accounting, Business Law & Taxation, University of Zurich, AQR Capital Management, LLC and London Business School
Downloads 1,560
28.

Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium

Journal of Financial Markets, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 17 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 13 Apr 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Hanken School of Economics - Department of Finance and Statistics
Downloads 1,538
29.

Forecasting Real Estate Prices

Handbook of Economic Forecasting: Vol II, G. Elliott and A. Timmermann, eds., Elsevier, 2012
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 21 Apr 2013
Accepted Paper Series
University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School, Universita' della Svizzera italiana, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management
Downloads 1,465
30.

Illusions in Regression Analysis

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 12 Dec 2011
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department
Downloads 1,408
31.

The R Package sentometrics to Compute, Aggregate and Predict with Textual Sentiment

Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 99, Issue 2, pp. 1-40, 2021
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 19 Aug 2021
Accepted Paper Series
HEC Montreal - Department of Decision Sciences, Université de Sherbrooke - Faculty of Administration, Vrije Universiteit Brussel and Ghent University
Downloads 1,285
32.

Economic Forecasting with an Agent-Based Model

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 18 Nov 2019 Last Revised: 06 Nov 2020
Working Paper Series
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Vienna University of Economics and Business and Government of Canada - Bank of Canada
Downloads 1,273
33.

Intra-Day Momentum

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 27 Jan 2017 Last Revised: 08 Feb 2017
Working Paper Series
Azava
Downloads 1,269
34.

A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity

Norges Bank Working Paper 6 | 2015
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 04 May 2015
Working Paper Series
Free University of Bozen-Bolzano - Faculty of Economics and Management and University of Tasmania - School of Economics and Finance

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 1,189
35.

Exploring Irregular Time Series Through Non-Uniform Fast Fourier Transform

Proceedings of the International Conference for High Performance Computating, IEEE, 2014.
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 30 Aug 2014 Last Revised: 05 Mar 2016
Accepted Paper Series
University of California, Berkeley - Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab), Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority, University of California, Berkeley - Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) and University of California, Berkeley - Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab)
Downloads 1,169
36.

Predictability of the Simple Technical Trading Rules: An Out-of-Sample Test

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 May 2012 Last Revised: 14 Jun 2012
Working Paper Series
Massey University - School of Economics and Finance, Tilburg University - TIAS School for Business and Society and Massey University
Downloads 1,169
37.

Forecasting Government Bond Risk Premia Using Technical Indicators

25th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference 2012, Asian Finance Association (AsFA) 2013 Conference
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 22 Aug 2011 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2013
Working Paper Series
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 1,163
38.

Scaled PCA: A New Approach to Dimension Reduction

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 14 May 2019 Last Revised: 27 Jan 2021
Working Paper Series
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Capital University of Economics and Business, Renmin University and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 1,141
39.

Forecasting Exchange Rates: An Investor Perspective

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4238
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 22 May 2013
Working Paper Series
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management, BlackRock, Inc and BlackRock, Inc
Downloads 1,117
40.

Type I and Type II Errors in Finance (Presentation Slides)

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 25 Jun 2018 Last Revised: 14 Jun 2019
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Operations Research & Industrial EngineeringAbu Dhabi Investment Authority
Downloads 1,106
41.

The Predictive Content of the Interest Rate Term Spread for Future Economic Growth

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 84, no. 3, Summer 1998, pp. 31-51
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 21 Nov 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 1,077
42.

The Effect of Organizational Complexity on Earnings Forecasting Behavior

AAA 2013 Management Accounting Section (MAS) Meeting Paper
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 15 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2019
Working Paper Series
Washington University in St. Louis, Purdue University - Krannert School of Management and Washington and Lee University
Downloads 1,076
43.

Macroeconomic Indicator Forecasting with Deep Neural Networks

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Working Paper No. 17-11
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 03 Oct 2017
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Downloads 1,056
44.
Downloads 1,038
45.

A Forest Fire Theory of the Duration of a Boom and the Size of a Subsequent Bust

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 08 Jul 2013 Last Revised: 28 Feb 2019
Working Paper Series
Stanford University - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,007
46.

Measuring Relative Accuracy: A Better Alternative to Mean Absolute Percentage Error

Hertfordshire Business School Working Paper (2013)
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 07 Nov 2013
Working Paper Series
University of Hertfordshire Business School
Downloads 1,007
47.

Imperfect Foresight

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, CPPIB, Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and CPPIB
Downloads 989
48.

Fundamental Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Advantages and Drawbacks

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 24 Jul 2015
Working Paper Series
Mykolas Romeris University and Mykolas Romeris University
Downloads 961
49.

Signaling Asset Price Bubbles with Time-Series Methods

Bank of Finland Research Discussion Paper No. 7/2012
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 11 Feb 2012
Working Paper Series
Bank of Finland - Financial Stability and Statistics
Downloads 914
50.

Divide and Conquer: Financial Ratios and Industry Returns Predictability

Number of pages: 70 Posted: 08 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 10 May 2021
Working Paper Series
School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary University of London and Temple University, Fox School of Business
Downloads 901