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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Research Paper Series

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1.

The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2019-6
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 07 Feb 2019
Working Paper Series
New York University (NYU), New York University - Stern School of Business and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 1
2.

Does the Yield Curve Really Forecast Recession?

Economic Synopses, Issue 30, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Simon Fraser University (SFU) - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 15
3.

Whither the Price of Bitcoin?

Economic Synopses, Issue 1, pp. 1-2, 2019
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Simon Fraser University (SFU) - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 6
4.

Rising Interest Rates, the Deficit, and Public Debt

Economic Synopses, Issue 28, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 3
5.

The Impact of Automation on Inequality

Economic Synopses, Issue 29, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 3
6.

Gauging the Evolution of Monetary Policy Communication Before and after the Financial Crisis

Economic Synopses, Issue 27, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 2
7.

Is the Fed Following a “Modernized” Version of the Taylor Rule? Part 1

Economic Synopses, Issue 2, pp. 1-2, 2019
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
Downloads 2
8.

Measuring Potential Output

Economic Synopses, Issue 25, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
George Washington University, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 2
9.

Multiple Jobholders

Economic Synopses, Issue 32, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
CREST-Ensai, University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 2
10.

Mapping the U.S. Production Network: Identifying Hub Industries

Economic Synopses, Issue 31, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 1
11.

Married Men Sit Atop the Wage Ladder

Economic Synopses, Issue 24, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 1
12.

Which Countries and Industries Contributed the Most to the Decline in Trade Barriers Around the World?

Economic Synopses, Issue 26, pp. 1-3, 2018
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 1
13.

Industry Connectivity: A Case Study of the Construction Industry

Economic Synopses, Issue 33, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
14.

Is the Fed Following a “Modernized” Version of the Taylor Rule? Part 2

Economic Synopses, Issue 3, pp. 1-3, 2019
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 04 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
15.

How Open to Trade is the U.S. Economy?

Economic Synopses, Issue 21, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 4
16.

What are Teachers Really Paid? Adjusting Wages for Regional Differences in Cost of Living

Economic Synopses, Issue 23, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 1
17.

Firms’ Price-Markup Dynamics During the Great Recession

Economic Synopses, Issue 20, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
18.

What are the Fiscal Costs of a (Great) Recession?

Economic Synopses, Issue 22, pp. 1-2, 2018
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
19.

Time-Geographically Weighted Regressions and Residential Property Value Assessment

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2019-5
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 30 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 31 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Connecticut - School of Business, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and Tufts University - Department of Economics
Downloads 5
20.

Traffic Noise in Georgia: Sound Levels and Inequality

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2019-4
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Connecticut - School of Business, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 2
21.

Should the Central Bank Issue E-Money?

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2019-3
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 23 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign and Washington University in St Louis

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 22
22.

The Founding of the Federal Reserve, the Great Depression and the Evolution of the U.S. Interbank Network

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2019-2
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 23 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Utah State University - Huntsman School of Business and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 8
23.

Payment Systems and Privacy

Review, Vol. 100, Issue 4, pp. 337-344, 2018
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 9
24.

Domestic Innovation and International Technology Diffusion as Sources of Comparative Advantage

Review, Vol. 100, Issue 4, pp. 317-336, 2018
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 4
25.

Understanding Lowflation

Review, Vol. 101, Issue 1, pp. 1-26, 2019
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Simon Fraser University (SFU) - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 4
26.

Effects of Credit Supply on Unemployment and Income Inequality

Review, Vol. 100, Issue 4, pp. 345-362, 2018
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, Department of Economics and Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge
Downloads 3
27.

Data Revisions of Aggregate Hours Worked: Implications for the Europe-U.S. Hours Gap

Review, Vol. 101, Issue 1, pp. 45-56, 2019
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Arizona State University (ASU) - Economics Department, McMaster University and Goethe University Frankfurt
Downloads 2
28.

Pork-Barrel Politics and Polarization

Review, Vol. 101, Issue 1, pp. 57-68, 2019
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
University of Missouri
Downloads 2
29.

How Have Shanghai, Saudi Arabia, and Supply Chains Affected U.S. Inflation Dynamics?

Review, Vol. 101, Issue 1, pp. 27-44, 2019
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management
Downloads 1
30.

Comparing Measures of Potential Output

Review, Vol. 100, Issue 4, pp. 297-316, 2018
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 15 Jan 2019
Accepted Paper Series
George Washington University, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
31.

Interbank Connections, Contagion and Bank Distress in the Great Depression

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2019-1
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 14 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Columbia University, Utah State University - Huntsman School of Business and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
Downloads 10
32.

International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-38
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 14 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 17 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
University of York - Department of Economics and Related Studies, Bentley University - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 9
33.

The Baby Boomers and the Productivity Slowdown

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-37
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 18 Dec 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 2
34.

The Baby Boomers and the Productivity Slowdown

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-36
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 17 Dec 2018
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 2
35.

Endogenous Debt Maturity: Liquidity Risk vs. Default Risk

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-34
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 27 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Washington University in St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 16
36.

The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-35
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 27 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Bentley University - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 11
37.

Capital Gains Taxation and Investment Dynamics

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-31
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 27 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Department of Economics
Downloads 5
38.

News, Sovereign Debt Maturity, and Default Risk

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-33
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 27 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Downloads 4
39.

Resource Curse or Blessing? Sovereign Risk in Resource-Rich Emerging Economies

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-32
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 27 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Central Bank of Colombia, University of Pennsylvania and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 4
40.

The Real Term Premium in a Stationary Economy with Segmented Asset Markets

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-30
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 25 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Sungkyunkwan University - Department of Economics
Downloads 4
41.

The Macroeconomic Consequences of Early Childhood Development Policies

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-29
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 12 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
New York University (NYU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 4
42.

Superstar Economists: Coauthorship Networks and Research Output

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-28
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 10 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis, The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) and University of Colorado at Boulder - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 18
43.

Reconciling Orthodox and Heterodox Views on Money and Banking

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-27
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 10 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Simon Fraser University (SFU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 3
44.

Assessing the Impact of Central Bank Digital Currency on Private Banks

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-25
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 08 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Simon Fraser University (SFU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 21
45.

Understanding Lowflation

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-24
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 02 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Simon Fraser University (SFU) - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 14
46.

Fiscal Multipliers and Financial Crises

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-23
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 02 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Downloads 10
47.

Why Did Rich Families Increase Their Fertility? Inequality and Marketization of Child Care

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-22
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 02 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
San Francisco State University, Tel Aviv University - Eitan Berglas School of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, Tel Aviv University - Eitan Berglas School of Economics and New Economic School (NES)
Downloads 5
48.

The 2008 U.S. Auto Market Collapse

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-19
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Renmin University of China, University of Richmond - E. Claiborne Robins School of Business - Economics and National Taiwan University
Downloads 4
49.

Imperfect Information Transmission from Banks to Investors: Macroeconomic Implications

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-18
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Chile, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 3
50.

Insurance and Inequality with Persistent Private Information

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2018-20
Number of pages: 101 Posted: 02 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
Stanford University - Department of Economics, Florida State University and Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 3