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Penn Institute for Economic Research (PIER) Working Paper Series

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Viewing: 1 - 50 of 714 papers

1.

The Wisdom of a Confused Crowd: Model-Based Inference

PIER Working Paper No. 19-001
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 17 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Yale University - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 28
2.

The Curse of Long Horizons

PIER Working Paper No. 18-029
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 04 Dec 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Texas at Austin and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 17
3.

What are Axiomatizations Good for?

PIER Working Paper No. 18-026, HEC Paris Research Paper No. ECO/SCD-2018-1318
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 06 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 21 Nov 2018
Working Paper Series
Tel Aviv University - Eitan Berglas School of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Yale University - Department of Economics and Tel Aviv University

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 48
4.

The Hurwicz Program, Past and Suggestions for the Future

PIER Working Paper No. 18-027
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 06 Nov 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Tel Aviv University
Downloads 31
5.

Partial Rating Area Offering in the ACA Marketplaces: Facts, Theory and Evidence

PIER Working Paper No. 18-025
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 06 Oct 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Georgetown University - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 6
6.

The Lack of European Productivity Growth: Causes and Lessons for the U.S.

PIER Working Paper No. 18-024
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 24 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics
Downloads 37
7.

Cryptocurrencies: A Crash Course in Digital Monetary Economics

PIER Working Paper No. 18-023
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 24 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 85
8.

Should Straw Polls be Banned?

PIER Working Paper No. 18-022
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 24 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
Pennsylvania State University and Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business
Downloads 3
9.

Time Lotteries and Stochastic Impatience

PIER Working Paper No. 18-021
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 20 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Washington University in St. Louis and Princeton University - Department of Economics
Downloads 13
10.

Stochastic Impatience and the Separation of Time and Risk Preferences

PIER Working Paper No. 18-020
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Washington University in St. Louis and Princeton University - Department of Economics
Downloads 17
11.

An Explicit Representation for Disappointment Aversion and Other Betweenness Preferences

PIER Working Paper No. 18-019
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 19 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
Bocconi University - Department of Decision Sciences, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Princeton University - Department of Economics
Downloads 11
12.

History Remembered: Optimal Sovereign Default on Domestic and External Debt

PIER Working Paper No. 18-018
Number of pages: 86 Posted: 14 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Pennsylvania

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 21
13.

Machine Learning for Regularized Survey Forecast Combination: Partially- Egalitarian Lasso and its Derivatives

PIER Working Paper No. 18-014
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 22 Aug 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Illinois

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 70
14.

Social Learning with Model Misspecification: A Framework and a Robustness Result

PIER Working Paper No. 18-017
Number of pages: 103 Posted: 22 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 23 Aug 2018
Working Paper Series
Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business and Aalto University - Department of Economics
Downloads 58
15.

The Dynamics of Discrimination: Theory and Evidence

PIER Working Paper No. 18-016
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 20 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 23 Aug 2018
Working Paper Series
Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University - Department of Social and Decision Sciences and Wayfair, Inc.

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 66
16.

Using Persistence to Generate Incentives in a Dynamic Moral Hazard Problem

PIER Working Paper No. 18-015
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 20 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 23 Aug 2018
Working Paper Series
Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 10
17.

On the Comparison of Interval Forecasts

PIER Working Paper No. 18-013
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 03 Aug 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, School of Arts & Sciences, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Illinois

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 17
18.

Equilibrium Labor Market Search and Health Insurance Reform, Third Version

PIER Working Paper No. 18-012
Number of pages: 84 Posted: 15 Jun 2018
Accepted Paper Series
University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 14
19.

Perturbations in DSGE Models: Odd Derivatives Theorem

PIER Working Paper No. 18-011
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 04 Jun 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 31
20.

Declining Search Frictions, Unemployment and Growth

PIER Working Paper No. 18-005
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 May 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 24
21.

You Are What Your Parents Think: Height and Local Reference Points

PIER Working Paper No. 18-007
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 26 Apr 2018 Last Revised: 28 Oct 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Houston - Department of Economics, University of Chile - Diagonal Paraguay, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 65
22.

Optimal Taxes on Capital in the OLG Model with Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Income Risk

PIER Working Paper No. 18-004
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 26 Feb 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Goethe University Frankfurt - Research Center SAFE

Multiple version iconThere are 6 versions of this paper

Downloads 13
23.

Intra Firm Bargaining and Shapley Values

PIER Working Paper No. 18-003
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 16 Feb 2018
Working Paper Series
VU University Amsterdam, Free University of Amsterdam and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 5 versions of this paper

Downloads 15
24.

Matching to Produce Information

PIER Working Paper No. 18-002
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 31 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 14 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 68
25.

Go Big or Go Home: A Free and Perfectly Safe but Only Partially Effective Vaccine Can Make Everyone Worse Off

PIER Working Paper No. 18-006, PIER Working Paper No. 18-006
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 23 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 15 Aug 2018
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 84
26.

A Very Robust Auction Mechanism

PIER Working Paper No. 18-001
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 17 Jan 2018
Working Paper Series
Rutgers University - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 59
27.

Inferring the Ideological Affliations of Political Committees via Financial Contributions Networks

PIER Working Paper No. 17-022
Number of pages: 85 Posted: 20 Dec 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 15
28.

The Dynamics of Discrimination: Theory and Evidence

PIER Working Paper No. 17-021
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 04 Dec 2017
Working Paper Series
Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University - Department of Social and Decision Sciences and Wayfair, Inc.

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 139
29.

Predicting and Understanding Initial Play

PIER Working Paper No. 18-009
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 28 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 21 May 2018
Working Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 235
30.

A Walrasian Theory of Sovereign Debt Auctions with Asymmetric Information

PIER Working Paper No. 17-015
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 11 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 11 Nov 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin, McCombs School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Downloads 36
31.

The Effects of Student Loans on the Provision and Demand for Higher Education

PIER Working Paper No. 17-020
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 07 Nov 2017
Working Paper Series
Inter-American Development Bank and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 32
32.

Complementary Information and Learning Traps

PIER Working Paper No. 18-008
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 25 Oct 2017 Last Revised: 27 Jan 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 342
33.

Wealth Disparities for Early Childhood Anthropometrics and Skills: Evidence from Chilean Longitudinal Data

PIER Working Paper No. 17-019
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 30 Sep 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Chile - Department of Economics, University of Chile and University of Chile - Diagonal Paraguay
Downloads 56
34.

The (Q,S,s) Pricing Rule: A Quantitative Analysis

PIER Working Paper No. 17-018
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 27 Sep 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 16
35.

Beating the Simple Average: Egalitarian LASSO for Combining Economic Forecasts

PIER Working Paper No. 17-017
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 07 Sep 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Illinois
Downloads 243
36.

The Theory Is Predictive, but Is It Complete? An Application to Human Perception of Randomness

PIER Working Paper No. 18-010
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 16 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 21 May 2018
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Department of Computer Science, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 314
37.

Instability of Centralized Markets

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 04 Aug 2017
Working Paper Series
Georgia State University - Risk Management & Insurance Department and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 31
38.

Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations

PIER Working Paper No. 17-016
Number of pages: 110 Posted: 28 Jul 2017
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Downloads 13
39.

Institutions and Political Party Systems: The Euro Case

PIER Working Paper No. 17-014, Columbia Business School Research Paper No. 17-73
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Jul 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 55
40.

A Walrasian Theory of Sovereign Debt Auctions with Asymmetric Information

PIER Working Paper No. 17-015
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 14 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 11 Nov 2017
Accepted Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin, McCombs School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Downloads 42
41.

Deliberately Stochastic

PIER Working Paper No. 17-013, Columbia Business School Research Paper No. 17-58
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 30 May 2017
Working Paper Series
Bocconi University - Department of Decision Sciences, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Princeton University - Department of Economics and Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV)
Downloads 76
42.

Exit, Voice or Loyalty? An Investigation into Mandated Portability of Front-Loaded Private Health Plans

PIER Working Paper No. 17-012
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 24 May 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen and Cornell University
Downloads 14
43.

We Can Cooperate Even When the Monitoring Structure Will Never Be Known

PIER Working Paper No. 17-011
Number of pages: 121 Posted: 17 May 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 15
44.

Voting as a Signal of Education

PIER Working Paper No. 17-010
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 16 May 2017
Working Paper Series
Penn Wharton Budget Model
Downloads 19
45.

Fads and Imperfect Information

PIER Working Paper No. 17-009
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 16 May 2017
Working Paper Series
Penn Wharton Budget Model
Downloads 29
46.

Safe Assets

PIER Working Paper No. 17-008
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 16 May 2017
Working Paper Series
Harvard University - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliyah and Harvard University

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Downloads 61
47.

Bounded Rationality and Learning: A Framework and a Robustness Result

PIER Working Paper No. 17-007
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 16 May 2017
Working Paper Series
Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business and Aalto University - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 178
48.

Density Forecasts in Panel Models: A Semiparametric Bayesian Perspective

PIER Working Paper No. 17-006
Number of pages: 95 Posted: 11 May 2017
Working Paper Series
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 37
49.

Life Insurance and Life Settlement Markets with Overconfident Policyholders

PIER Working Paper No. 17-005
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 23 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 24 Mar 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and School of Economics, Peking Univeristy

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 17
50.

The Economic Consequences of Labor Market Reglations

PIER Working Paper No. 16-027
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 22 Mar 2017
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 80