Search Results
Penn Institute for Economic Research (PIER) Working Paper Series

170,878 Total downloads | Link to this page | Subscribe to this eJournal (requires login)

Viewing: 1 - 50 of 771 papers

1.

On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates

PIER Working Paper No. 21-002
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 08 Jan 2021
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 2
2.

Same Environment, Stratified Impacts? Air Pollution, Extreme Temperatures, and Birth Weight in Southeast China

PIER Working Paper No. 21-001
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 08 Jan 2021
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, University of Houston - Department of Economics and Family Planning Special Hospital of Guangdong - Epidemiology Research Office of key Laboratory of Male Reproduction and Genetics (National Health Commission)
Downloads 3
3.

A Macroeconomic Model of Healthcare Saturation, Inequality & the Output-Pandemia Tradeoff

PIER Working Paper No. 20-041
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 18 Dec 2020
Working Paper Series
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Chilean Budget Office, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Downloads 14
4.

Fighting COVID-19: Performance of Countries in the First Half of 2020

PIER Working Paper No. 20-040
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 07 Dec 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania, Department of Economics
Downloads 25
5.

Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic

PIER Working Paper No. 20-039
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 01 Dec 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School
Downloads 21
6.

Robust Forecasting

PIER Working Paper No. 20-038
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 01 Dec 2020
Working Paper Series
New York University (NYU) - Department of Economics, University of Southern California - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 6
7.

Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints

PIER Working Paper No. 20-037
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 01 Dec 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Maryland, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Maryland - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 4
8.

Consumer Vulnerability and Behavioral Biases

PIER Working Paper No. 20-036
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 17 Nov 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and School of Economics, Peking Univeristy

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 21
9.

Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China

PIER Working Paper No. 20-035
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 02 Nov 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, South China University of Technology, London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and Stanford University

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 25
10.

Lawrence R. Klein’s Principles in Modeling and Contributions in Nowcasting, Real-Time Forecasting, and Machine Learning

PIER Working Paper No. 20-034
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 30 Sep 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania, Department of Economics
Downloads 10
11.

Competition and Quality: Evidence from High-Speed Railways and Airlines

PIER Working Paper No. 20-022
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 24 Sep 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, ShanghaiTech University - School of Entrepreneurship and Management and The Chinese University of Hong Kong - CUHK Business School

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 32
12.

Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China

Fang, H., L. Wang, and Y. Yang (2020). Human mobility restrictions and the spread of the novel coronavirus (2019-ncov) in china. Journal of Public Economics 191, 104272., Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 191, No. 104272, 2020
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Sep 2020 Last Revised: 04 Jan 2021
Accepted Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, ShanghaiTech University - School of Entrepreneurship and Management and The Chinese University of Hong Kong - CUHK Business School

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 307
13.

Corona Politics: The Cost of Mismanaging Pandemics

PIER Working Paper No. 20-033
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 10 Sep 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Warwick, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Geneva - Graduate Institute, Geneva (IHEID) and Kiel Institute for the World Economy
Downloads 110
14.

The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures

PIER Working Paper No. 20-032
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 31 Aug 2020
Working Paper Series
Goethe University Frankfurt, University of Pennsylvania, Goethe University Frankfurt and Goethe University Frankfurt
Downloads 15
15.

Labor Share and Productivity Dynamics

PIER Working Paper No. 20-031
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 17 Aug 2020
Working Paper Series
Autonomous University of Barcelona - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 9
16.

A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score

PIER Working Paper No. 20-030
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 17 Aug 2020
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Ohio State University and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 17
17.

Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)

PIER Working Paper No. 20-029
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 04 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 01 Oct 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania, Department of Economics
Downloads 24
18.

FiPIt: A Simple, Fast Global Method for Solving Models with Two Endogenous States & Occasionally Binding Constraints

PIER Working Paper No. 20-028
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 22 Jul 2020
Working Paper Series
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 1
19.

A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature

PIER Working Paper No. 20-027
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 22 Jul 2020
Working Paper Series
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 8
20.

Stochastic Impatience and the Separation of Time and Risk Preferences

PIER Working Paper No. 20-026
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Jul 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Princeton University - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 16
21.

On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuations in the Presence of Memorable Goods

PIER Working Paper No. 20-025
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 01 Jul 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Miami - School of Business Administration - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 30
22.

Genetic Risks, Adolescent Health and Schooling Attainment

PIER Working Paper No. 20-024
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 01 Jul 2020
Working Paper Series
Central Michigan University, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin - Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Miami, affiliation not provided to SSRN and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Sociology
Downloads 6
23.

Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession

PIER Working Paper No. 20-023
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Jul 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 21
24.

Subjective Information Choice Processes

PIER Working Paper No. 20-021
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 17 Jun 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Duke University - Department of Economics
Downloads 8
25.

Additive-Belief-Based Preferences

PIER Working Paper No. 20-020
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 17 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 15 Jul 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 6
26.

Macro-Finance Decoupling: Robust Evaluations of Macro Asset Pricing Models

PIER Working Paper No. 20-019
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 01 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 05 Jun 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania and University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 44
27.

The Optimal Assortativity of Teams Inside the Firm

PIER Working Paper No. 20-018
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 20 May 2020 Last Revised: 18 Sep 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania and Central Bank of Costa Rica
Downloads 5
28.

Confidence Management in Tournaments

PIER Working Paper No. 20-017
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 14 May 2020
Working Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, National University of Singapore (NUS) and School of Economics, Peking Univeristy
Downloads 6
29.

Activity and the Incidence of Emergencies: Evidence From Daily Data at the Onset of a Pandemic

PIER Working Paper No. 20-016
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 07 May 2020 Last Revised: 29 May 2020
Working Paper Series
Bar-Ilan University - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Inter-American Development Bank
Downloads 75
30.

Macroeconomic Dynamics and Reallocation in an Epidemic

PIER Working Paper No. 20-015
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 24 Apr 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, University of Chicago - Department of Economics and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Asia Competitiveness Institute

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 79
31.

Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic

PIER Working Paper No. 20-014
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 23 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2020
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Minneapolis Fed, University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 87
32.

Should Germany Have Built a New Wall? Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave

PIER Working Paper No. 20-013
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 02 Apr 2020
Working Paper Series
Autonomous University of Barcelona - MOVE (Markets, Organizations and Votes in Economics), University of Pennsylvania, Goethe University Frankfurt, National Research University Higher School of Economics and IRES, Universit Catholique de Louvain - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 14
33.

Optimal Combination of Arctic Sea Ice Extent Measures: A Dynamic Factor Modeling Approach

PIER Working Paper No. 20-012
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Apr 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 18
34.

Simple Rules for a Complex World with Artificial Intelligence

PIER Working Paper No. 20-010
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 24 Mar 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 62
35.

Long-Term Health Insurance: Theory Meets Evidence

PIER Working Paper No. 20-009
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 13 Mar 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen - CINCH and Cornell University

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 23
36.

The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China

PIER Working Paper No. 20-008
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 06 Mar 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Fudan University and University of Wisconsin

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 15
37.

Mental Health, Schooling Attainment and Polygenic Scores: Are there Significant Genetic-Environmental Associations?

PIER Working Paper No. 20-007
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 06 Feb 2020
Working Paper Series
Central Michigan University, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin - Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Miami, Syracuse University - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Sociology
Downloads 19
38.

After-School Tutoring, Household Substitution and Student Achievement: Experimental Evidence from Rural China

PIER Working Paper No. 20-004
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 31 Jan 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Lingnan University, Lingnan College, Hong Kong Baptist University (HKBU) and The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Economics
Downloads 22
39.

Coalition-Proof Risk Sharing Under Frictions

PIER Working Paper No. 20-002
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 10 Jan 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 6
40.

Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections

PIER Working Paper No. 20-001
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 03 Jan 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 69
41.

Lock-In in Dynamic Health Insurance Contracts: Evidence from Chile

PIER Working Paper No. 19-020
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 12 Nov 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 15
42.

Household Labor Search, Spousal Insurance, and Health Care Reform

PIER Working Paper No. 19-019
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 17 Oct 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 4
43.

Learning under Diverse World Views: Model-Based Inference

PIER Working Paper No. 19-018
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 03 Oct 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Yale University - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 57
44.

Quality Regulation and Competition: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Markets

PIER Working Paper No. 19-017 (2019)
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 29 Sep 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Norwegian School of Economics (NHH)
Downloads 32
45.

Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy

PIER Working Paper No. 19-016 (2019)
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 18 Sep 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics - School of Economics and University of Oxford

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Downloads 13
46.

Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution

PIER Working Paper No. 19-015, September 2019, Jacobs Levy Equity Management Center for Quantitative Financial Research Paper
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 18 Sep 2019 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Banco de España and Banco de España

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Downloads 33
47.

Online Estimation of DSGE Models

PIER Working Paper No. 19-014, July 2019
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 25 Jul 2019
Working Paper Series
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 77
48.

Schooling Investment, Mismatch, and Wage Inequality

PIER Working Paper No. 19-013, July 2019
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 19 Jul 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania and Duke University
Downloads 44
49.

On the Evolution of U.S. Temperature Dynamics

PIER Working Paper No. 19-012, July 2019
Number of pages: 92 Posted: 09 Jul 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Downloads 53
50.

Revisiting the Hypothesis of High Discounts and High Unemployment

PIER Working Paper No. 19-011, June 2019
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 21 Jun 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Pennsylvania, New York University (NYU) and University of Edinburgh

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 17