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JEL Code: E17

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Viewing: 251 - 300 of 611 papers

251.

Forecasting Equity Returns: An Analysis of Macro vs. Micro Earnings and an Introduction of a Composite Valuation Model

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 22 Feb 2013 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2015
Working Paper Series
String Advisors, Inc
Downloads 2,564
252.

The Delphi Method (El Metodo Delphi)

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 29 Jul 2003
Working Paper Series
Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation
Downloads 2,276
253.

Benchmarking Report: Strategic Foresight in Multinational Companies

Research Report of the European Corporate Foresight Group: Berlin, Germany
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Working Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin), Universität Hamburg, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences and Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin)
Downloads 1,982
254.

Corporate Foresight: Its Three Roles in Enhancing the Innovation Capacity of a Firm

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 78, No. 2, pp. 231-243
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 31 May 2010 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and Technical University of Berlin
Downloads 1,843
255.

Harnessing a Network of Experts for Competitive Advantage: Technology Scouting in the ICT Industry

R&D Management, Vol. 40, No. 2, pp. 169-180, 2010
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 08 Jan 2010 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 1,829
256.

Market Competition, Earnings Management, and Persistence in Accounting Profitability around the World

Review of Accounting Studies, Volume 19, Issue 4, pp 1281-1308, December 2014
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 21 Jun 2011 Last Revised: 01 Feb 2017
Accepted Paper Series
Harvard Business School, Harvard University - Harvard Business School, Harvard Business School and Harvard Business School
Downloads 1,764
257.

Strategic Foresight in Multinational Enterprises: Building a Best-Practice Framework from Case Studies

Emerging Methods in R&D Management Conference, pp. 10-20, 2008
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 13 Feb 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and Technical University of Berlin
Downloads 1,378
258.

The Value Contribution of Strategic Foresight: Insights from an Empirical Study on Large European Companies

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(8), 1593-1606 (2013)
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 30 Dec 2012 Last Revised: 06 Aug 2015
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and EBS Universität für Wirtschaft und Recht - EBS Business School
Downloads 1,344
259.

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4750-09, Harvard Business School Finance Working Paper No. 1472892
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 15 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 05 Feb 2012
Working Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 1,276
260.

Sourcing Innovation from You Customer: How Multinational Enterprises Use Web Platforms for Virtual Customer Integration

Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, Vol. 22, No. 4, pp. 117–131, 2010,
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 09 Jan 2010 Last Revised: 09 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Deutsche Telekom Laboratories and TU Berlin
Downloads 1,247
261.

Estimating Expected Returns

Journal of Investing, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 02 Oct 2002
Accepted Paper Series
NYU Tandon School of Engineering - Department of Finance and Risk Engineering
Downloads 1,220
262.

Forecasting Methods (Spanish Version)

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 23 Feb 2006
Working Paper Series
Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation
Downloads 1,153
263.

Support Vector Machines Approach to Predict the S&P CNX NIFTY Index Returns

10th Capital Markets Conference, Indian Institute of Capital Markets Paper
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 13 Feb 2007
Working Paper Series
Indian Institute of Technology Madras and Indian Institute of Technology Madras
Downloads 1,103
264.

Exploring Value Creation from Corporate-Foresight Activities

Futures, 44(5), 440-452.
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 17 May 2011 Last Revised: 06 May 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads 1,075
265.

Macroeconomics and the Reality of Mixed Frequency Data

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 29 May 2012 Last Revised: 11 Jul 2015
Working Paper Series
University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School
Downloads 1,011
266.

Economic Tracking Portfolios

CRSP Working Paper No. 489
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 09 Jul 1999
Working Paper Series
Harvard University - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 995
267.

Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 995
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 21 Aug 2003
Working Paper Series
USC Dornsife Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oliver Wyman , Mercer Oliver Wyman and Alliance Capital Management
Downloads 890
268.

Environmental Scanning, Futures Research, Strategic Foresight and Organizational Future Orientation: A Review, Integration, and Future Research Directions

ISPIM Annual Conference 2012, Barcelona, Spain
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 10 Jun 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University and University of Kiel
Downloads 874
269.

Strategic Foresight for Collaborative Exploration of New Business Fields

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(5), 819-831.
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 11 Nov 2011 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2014
Accepted Paper Series
University of Potsdam - Innovation Management and Entrepreneurship and Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads 835
270.

An Assessment of the Impact of HIV/AIDS on Economic Growth: The Case of Kenya

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1034
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 30 Sep 2003
Working Paper Series
KSMS/CBK and Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA)
Downloads 792
271.

Technology Foresight in the ICT Sector – Exploration of New Business Opportunities

2nd ISPIM Innovation Symposium: New York City, USA
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 16 Dec 2009 Last Revised: 11 Dec 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin) and Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads 786
272.

The Information Content of Forward and Futures Prices: Market Expectations and the Price of Risk

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 808
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 02 Jul 2004
Working Paper Series
Purdue University - Department of Management, University of Pennsylvania - Finance Department and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 783
273.

Macroeconomics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective

Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Forthcoming, Wharton Financial Institutions Center Working Paper No. 03-13
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 17 May 2003
Accepted Paper Series
USC Dornsife Institute for New Economic Thinking, Mercer Oliver Wyman, Oliver Wyman and Alliance Capital Management
Downloads 764
274.

Strategic Foresight at General Electric: About the Ability to Mobilize all Employees to Manage Outbreaks in the Business Environment to Succeed (German: Strategische Frühaufklärung bei General Electric: Von der Fähigkeit alle Mitarbeiter zu Mobilisieren um Umbrüche im Unternehmensumfeld erfolgreich zu managen)

VORAUSSCHAU UND TECHNOLOGIEPLANUNG, J. Gausemeier, Paderborn, ed., pp. 159-176, Heinz Nixdorf Institut, 2009
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 02 Dec 2009 Last Revised: 14 Jan 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Universität Hamburg, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences and Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads 638
275.

Strategic Foresight - a Case Study on the Deutsche Telekom Laboratories

ISPIM-Asia Conference: New Delhi, India
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 27 Jul 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Deutsche Telekom AG and Deutsche Telekom AG - Deutsche Telekom Laboratories
Downloads 609
276.

Technology Scouting - a Case Study on the Deutsche Telekom Laboratories

ISPIM-Asia Conference 2007, New Delhi, India
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 27 Jul 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads 594
277.

Strategic Foresight in Multinational Companies (Veille Stratégique En Entreprise Multinationale: Une Étude De Cas Auprès De La Deutsche Telekom)

XVIème Conférence Internationale de Management Stratégique: Montréal, Canada,
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 09 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2009
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads 581
278.

Concept and Mathematics of Islamic Financial Engineering

8th International Conference on Islamic Economics and Finance, 20 December 2011, Doha, Qatar
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 06 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2012
Working Paper Series
Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University and ENAMEC Institute
Downloads 576
279.

A Small Macro-Econometric Model for Greece: Implications About the Sustainability of the Greek External Debt

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Jul 2011 Last Revised: 15 Jul 2011
Working Paper Series
Hellenic Open University, University of Patras and Zayed University, College of Business
Downloads 539
280.

The Technology Radar - An Instrument of Technology Intelligence and Innovation Strategy

The 3rd IEEE ICMIT Conference, Singapore
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 27 Jul 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Deutsche Telekom AG - Deutsche Telekom Laboratories and Deutsche Telekom AG
Downloads 529
281.

A Bayesian Framework for Combining Valuation Estimates

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Vol. 30, No. 3, pp. 339-354, 2008
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 19 Jul 2007 Last Revised: 06 Nov 2008
Accepted Paper Series
Mellon Capital Management
Downloads 523
282.

Trend Scanning, Scouting and Foresight Techniques

Front End of Innovation: Managing the Unmanageable Fuzzy Side, Oliver Gassmann & Fiona Schweitzer, eds., 2013
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 23 Mar 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University
Downloads 523
283.

Business Cycle Effects on Portfolio Credit Risk: Scenario Generation through Dynamic Factor Analysis

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 15 Feb 2005
Working Paper Series
University of Palermo - Economics, Business and Finance and Iccrea Banca
Downloads 481
284.

Combining Forecasts: An Application to Elections

International Journal of Forecasting, 30(1), 43-54, Revised and extended version of a paper presented at the American Political Science Association (APSA) 2011 Annual Meeting
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 01 Aug 2011 Last Revised: 30 Aug 2014
Accepted Paper Series
Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich - Department of Communication Science and Media Research, University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department, University of Central Oklahoma and University of West Florida
Downloads 472
285.

Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting

DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 899
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 02 Sep 2009
Working Paper Series
IZA Institute of Labor Economics and Harvard University

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Downloads 470
286.

Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series: LASSO-Based Approaches and Their Forecast Combinations with Dynamic Factor Models

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 19 Mar 2014
Working Paper Series
University of Notre Dame and University of Notre Dame
Downloads 468
287.

Using Global VAR Models for Scenario-Based Forecasting and Policy Analysis

The GVAR Handbook: Structure and Applications of a Macro Model of the Global Economy for Policy Analysis (F. di Mauro and M.H. Pesaran eds.), Forthcoming.
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 14 Jul 2012
Working Paper Series
Independent, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research and Independent
Downloads 459
288.

IT Tools for Foresight: The Integrated Insight and Response System of Deutsche Telekom Innovation Laboratories

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 97(8), 115-126 (2015)
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 29 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 06 Aug 2015
Accepted Paper Series
Aarhus BSS, Aarhus University, Technische Universität Berlin (TU Berlin) and Deutsche Telekom AG

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 455
290.

Rational Expectations: Retrospect and Prospect

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper, CHOPE Working Paper No. 2011-10
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 05 Jul 2011 Last Revised: 05 Jul 2011
Working Paper Series
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and Bar-Ilan University - Department of Economics
Downloads 437
291.

Inflation Targeting and the Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off

IMF Working Paper No. 01/166
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 21 Dec 2001
Working Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 426
292.

Real Estate Mutual Funds: Performance and Persistence

Journal of Real Estate Research, Vol. 26, No. 1, 2004
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 04 Jan 2007
Accepted Paper Series
Eastern Illinois University - School of Business and Old Dominion University - Finance
Downloads 419
293.

Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: A Global VAR Analysis

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1425, ECB Working Paper No. 568, IEPR Working Paper No. 04.6
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 19 Jan 2005
Working Paper Series
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), USC Dornsife Institute for New Economic Thinking and University of York
Downloads 406
294.

The Legacy of Surveillance: An Explanation for Social Capital Erosion and the Persistent Economic Disparity between East and West Germany

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 18 Feb 2010 Last Revised: 27 Jul 2010
Working Paper Series
WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management and Zeppelin University
Downloads 392
295.

Lessons for an Aging Society: The Political Sustainability of Social Security Systems

IGIER Working Paper No. 244; Boston College, Center for Retirement Research Working Paper No. 2004-07
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 30 Nov 2003
Working Paper Series
University of Lugano and Bocconi University - Department of Policy Analysis and Public Management

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 353
296.

Irrationality or Efficiency of Macroeconomic Survey Forecasts? Implications from the Anchoring Bias Test

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 03 Sep 2010 Last Revised: 26 May 2012
Working Paper Series
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance and University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Downloads 351
297.

Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1706, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 10
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 11 Jun 2009 Last Revised: 14 Aug 2010
Working Paper Series
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 344
298.

A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap

Bank of Canada Working Paper 97-5
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 29 Dec 1997
Working Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM) - Centre de recherche sur l'emploi et les fluctuations économiques (CREFÉ) and Bank of Canada
Downloads 338
299.

What if the UK had Joined the Euro in 1999? An Empirical Evaluation using a Global VAR

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1477; IEPR Working Paper No. 05.24
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 11 Jun 2005
Working Paper Series
USC Dornsife Institute for New Economic Thinking, Birkbeck College and University of York
Downloads 333
300.

Comprehensive Time-Series Regression Models Using Gretl — U.S. GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment from 1980 to 2013

Number of pages: 82 Posted: 21 Dec 2014 Last Revised: 03 Sep 2015
Working Paper Series
SUNY at Buffalo - School of Management - Operations Management and Strategy Department
Downloads 322