The Economics of Financial Scams: Evidence from Initial Coin Offerings
71 Pages Posted: 16 Jan 2024 Last revised: 2 Aug 2024
Date Written: March 23, 2022
Abstract
We examine the economics of financial scams by analyzing the market for initial coin offerings (ICOs). Using data snapshots of 5,873 ICOs, we find that irregularities in ICO characteristics across listing websites predict higher scam risk. These patterns are consistent with a framework where malicious issuers maximize profits by using irregularities to screen for naïve investors. Almost half of the ICOs in our sample may be scams, amounting to more than U.S. $6 billion in losses. Our results draw attention to the frequent use of screening mechanisms in financial scams.
Keywords: Financial scams, Economics of crime, Forensic finance, Cryptocurrency
JEL Classification: D40, D84, G12, G14
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